akashic
1876–2024
Poinsett County, Arkansas
Poinsett County·Arkansas

For twenty-eight years, Poinsett County voted Democratic. Then it stopped.

Delta flatlands where presidential margins have grown by double digits since 2000

18762024·38 elections
Poinsett County, Arkansas · Thomas R Machnitzki (thomas@machnitzki.com) · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+64
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
22,543
2024 ACS
Most similar
Lawrence County
AR · similarity 0.99
12 precincts · 7,079 votes cast
Trump · R+64
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−63.5%
1,2355,7317,079
2020R
−59.8%
1,4245,9187,521
2016R
−48.1%
1,8805,5027,536
2012R
−34.2%
2,3904,9747,560
2008R
−27.3%
2,7424,9037,928
2004D
+6.7%
4,0693,5557,723
2000D
+15.4%
4,1022,9887,235
1996D
+35.7%
4,6862,0347,427
1992D
+34.0%
5,3412,4258,571
1988D
+3.0%
3,8733,6447,566
1984R
−17.9%
3,9065,6229,587
1980D
+9.3%
4,8944,0409,180
1976D
+43.0%
6,8352,7269,566
1972R
−56.7%
1,9087,0108,998
1968R
−5.9%
1,6722,1407,886
1964D
+30.0%
5,6353,0318,679
1960D
+7.1%
2,8172,4305,444
1956D
+28.3%
3,8172,1176,006
1952D
+36.3%
4,3032,0106,321
1948D
+53.5%
2,4154353,702
1944D
+77.9%
2,5063112,818
1940D
+72.0%
4,1386704,817
1936D
+71.5%
3,4575634,049
1932D
+87.6%
4,3122524,636
1928D
+32.5%
2,3241,1823,518
1924D
+45.8%
1,1823931,723
1920D
+29.6%
1,2016331,922
1916D
+39.3%
1,1745111,685
1912D
+35.9%
5932051,081
1908D
+29.0%
8434621,315
1904D
+31.1%
599310929
1900D
+48.4%
520180702
1896D
+62.1%
572130712
1892D
+64.6%
493100608
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
4.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
48.0%
Other Christian
16.2%
Methodist
5.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.3%
Catholic & Orthodox
0.6%
Mainline Protestant
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 25.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Poinsett County sits in Arkansas's Mississippi Delta lowlands, where a shrinking, majority-white rural population has shifted its presidential margins rightward by roughly 40 points over the past two decades.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Poinsett County peaked at eighty-eight points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2008 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of twenty-seven points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. Poinsett County's median household income of $46,707 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 20% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lawrence County and Little River County.