akashic
1876–2024
Warren County, Iowa
Warren County·Iowa

Warren County has voted Republican for as long as anyone can remember.

A Des Moines suburb that has shifted sharply toward Republicans over two decades

18762024·38 elections
Warren County, Iowa · Dave Anderson · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+21
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
54,409
2024 ACS
Most similar
Moody County
SD · similarity 0.97
40 precincts · 32,804 votes cast
Trump · R+21
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−20.6%
12,71219,48632,804
2020R
−16.8%
12,57417,78231,039
2016R
−16.0%
10,41114,81427,507
2012R
−1.9%
12,55113,05226,072
2008D
+0.6%
12,29912,14424,880
2004R
−6.2%
10,73012,16023,053
2000R
−0.5%
9,5219,62119,653
1996D
+12.7%
9,1206,90517,472
1992D
+7.2%
8,6127,24219,157
1988D
+19.9%
9,6276,42416,131
1984R
−0.6%
8,1718,27716,570
1980R
−4.8%
6,6107,36015,519
1976D
+11.0%
7,6536,09914,108
1972R
−17.1%
5,1437,33212,804
1968R
−9.0%
4,6135,61911,171
1964D
+28.6%
6,6393,67910,351
1960R
−18.5%
4,1366,01310,149
1956R
−18.5%
3,7295,4309,174
1952R
−31.8%
3,0425,9119,017
1948R
−5.2%
3,4813,8767,605
1944R
−12.4%
3,3194,2667,641
1940R
−13.0%
3,8565,0168,923
1936R
−7.2%
4,0114,6428,805
1932R
−2.5%
3,5423,7257,408
1928R
−40.2%
2,2395,2947,591
1924R
−45.2%
1,2744,6837,543
1920R
−43.1%
2,0665,3237,549
1916R
−6.5%
1,9102,1824,179
1912D
+0.2%
1,3961,3864,051
1908R
−21.4%
1,6452,5894,419
1904R
−39.4%
1,1912,9384,438
1900R
−21.7%
1,8762,9665,014
1896R
−12.0%
2,2142,8265,113
1892R
−21.8%
1,4752,4144,315
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
9.7%
Mainline Protestant
7.9%
Methodist
6.9%
Other Christian
4.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.7%
Baptist
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Warren County sits on the southern edge of the Des Moines metro, and its rapid exurban growth has coincided with a consistent rightward trend, delivering a 20-point Republican margin in 2024 after posting much narrower results in earlier cycles.

The Republican margin in Warren County reached its widest at forty-five points in 1924. The margin in 2024 was twenty-one points, in line with the county's deep historical pattern.

Warren County's loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $94,588, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 54,409 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Moody County and Greene County.