akashic
1876–2024
Van Buren County, Michigan
Van Buren County·Michigan

Van Buren County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

A fruit-belt county where agriculture shapes the electoral map

18762024·38 elections
Van Buren County, Michigan · Lawrence G. Miller (Lawrence G. Miller on en.wikipedia) · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+15
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
75,795
2024 ACS
Most similar
McDonough County
IL · similarity 0.97
64 precincts · 41,249 votes cast
Trump · R+15
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−15.1%
17,17523,40741,249
2020R
−12.3%
16,80321,59139,066
2016R
−13.9%
13,25817,89033,274
2012D
+0.5%
16,29016,14132,837
2008D
+8.8%
18,58815,53434,766
2004R
−4.3%
16,15117,63434,174
2000R
−3.4%
13,79614,79229,482
1996D
+7.2%
13,35511,34727,975
1992D
+7.0%
12,46610,35730,237
1988R
−15.2%
10,66814,52225,400
1984R
−29.8%
8,85316,42625,445
1980R
−20.1%
9,24814,45125,824
1976R
−13.4%
10,36613,61524,302
1972R
−31.3%
7,15913,90321,531
1968R
−16.4%
7,30410,67620,607
1964D
+16.5%
11,3368,12019,504
1960R
−29.0%
7,08212,90320,096
1956R
−39.9%
5,67813,29119,063
1952R
−42.5%
5,30913,23118,659
1948R
−38.8%
4,0829,51114,004
1944R
−37.1%
5,00210,95116,037
1940R
−34.4%
5,62511,57117,297
1936R
−14.4%
6,7209,11016,655
1932D
+1.8%
7,2236,95414,641
1928R
−55.5%
2,6439,32512,050
1924R
−55.6%
1,6467,38410,320
1920R
−53.5%
1,9886,9049,192
1916R
−13.9%
3,2254,3027,776
1912R
−1.5%
1,9942,1017,242
1908R
−30.7%
2,3134,5317,215
1904R
−50.1%
1,6345,2547,230
1900R
−19.9%
3,2354,8928,331
1896R
−6.1%
3,9824,5108,682
1892R
−22.9%
2,1823,7887,008
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Italian
0.5%
African American
2.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
12.6%
Other Christian
7.4%
Mainline Protestant
4.0%
Methodist
2.2%
Baptist
1.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.9%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 71.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Stretching along Lake Michigan's eastern shore, Van Buren County is Michigan's leading producer of blueberries and grapes, and its rural farming communities have driven a steady rightward shift — the 2024 presidential margin reached R+15.1, up from closer margins a decade ago.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached sixteen points in 1964; the Republican margin reached fifty-six points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Van Buren County's demographics — a population of 75,795, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $68,114 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of McDonough County and Jefferson County.