akashic
1876–2024
Carter County, Missouri
Carter County·Missouri

Carter County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

One of Missouri's most lopsided presidential counties in 2024

18762024·38 elections
Carter County, Missouri · Kbh3rd · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+74
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
5,297
2024 ACS
Most similar
Ripley County
MO · similarity 1.00
5 precincts · 2,862 votes cast
Trump · R+74
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−74.2%
3642,4882,862
2020R
−70.2%
4182,4512,897
2016R
−66.2%
4362,3242,850
2012R
−43.7%
7541,9782,799
2008R
−29.5%
9841,8402,898
2004R
−30.0%
9641,7972,779
2000R
−26.1%
9971,7302,808
1996R
−0.3%
1,1721,1802,677
1992D
+2.5%
1,1691,1012,686
1988R
−13.5%
1,0871,4292,528
1984R
−21.0%
9161,4022,318
1980R
−5.5%
1,0871,2182,368
1976D
+15.5%
1,1548422,007
1972R
−38.0%
5651,2571,822
1968R
−6.5%
7388611,888
1964D
+23.6%
1,2327611,993
1960R
−21.1%
6831,0491,732
1956D
+1.6%
1,0671,0332,100
1952D
+1.0%
1,1231,1002,223
1948D
+13.0%
1,2559642,237
1944D
+7.7%
1,2071,0332,252
1940D
+11.3%
1,4991,1952,697
1936D
+19.2%
1,5901,0732,689
1932D
+33.4%
1,5227502,309
1928R
−1.3%
9639891,962
1924D
+14.7%
1,0517721,903
1920R
−6.2%
9301,0572,047
1916D
+10.4%
5864691,130
1912D
+21.8%
458256926
1908D
+7.2%
5915071,162
1904D
+4.2%
5565101,106
1900D
+9.1%
7556291,390
1896D
+11.6%
6114831,107
1892D
+23.7%
6173771,011
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.5%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
24.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
6.4%
Other Christian
6.0%
Methodist
3.0%
Mainline Protestant
2.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Carter County's Ozark hill country and sparse population of under 6,000 produced an R+74.2 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the most one-sided results in the state.

The Democratic margin in Carter County peaked at thirty-three points in 1932. By 1996 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was seventy-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Carter County's median household income of $50,000 sits well below state and national norms, and 21% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ripley County and Harrison County.