akashic
1876–2024
Baker County, Oregon
Baker County·Oregon

Baker County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

One of Oregon's most reliably Republican counties by raw margin

18762024·38 elections
Baker County, Oregon · Scott Catron from Sandy, Utah, USA · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+49
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
16,840
2024 ACS
Most similar
Idaho County
ID · similarity 1.00
17 precincts · 9,694 votes cast
Trump · R+49
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−48.7%
2,3437,0609,694
2020R
−50.4%
2,3467,3529,932
2016R
−50.4%
1,7976,2188,779
2012R
−39.5%
2,3695,7028,448
2008R
−32.4%
2,8055,6508,777
2004R
−40.3%
2,6166,2539,034
2000R
−41.5%
2,1955,6188,258
1996R
−18.5%
2,5473,9757,703
1992R
−6.2%
2,3952,8627,530
1988R
−11.7%
2,8963,6966,826
1984R
−33.4%
2,5915,2047,812
1980R
−27.9%
2,5154,7478,013
1976R
−0.5%
3,3063,3406,919
1972R
−22.4%
2,0473,4416,220
1968R
−13.5%
2,4643,3116,255
1964D
+18.7%
3,9032,6706,585
1960D
+3.0%
3,7343,5147,251
1956R
−3.9%
3,4313,7067,137
1952R
−24.7%
2,5624,2536,838
1948D
+3.2%
3,0352,8416,040
1944D
+11.0%
3,1162,4945,641
1940D
+16.7%
4,3533,1017,493
1936D
+45.1%
4,9911,7687,151
1932D
+34.8%
4,4202,0976,674
1928R
−32.8%
1,8613,7215,679
1924R
−12.9%
2,0042,8036,172
1920R
−22.2%
2,1713,4955,961
1916D
+19.8%
3,8972,5416,838
1912D
+20.3%
1,3956483,686
1908R
−2.6%
1,5961,6893,610
1904R
−31.6%
9381,9903,330
1900D
+5.0%
1,6151,4583,160
1896D
+31.9%
1,8609512,852
1892R
−23.0%
3557551,741
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
1.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
15.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
7.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
6.6%
Mainline Protestant
1.4%
Methodist
1.4%
Baptist
0.6%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Baker County's sparse high-desert ranching economy anchors one of the widest presidential margins in the state, with the 2024 gap exceeding 48 points despite a population under 17,000.

The Democratic margin in Baker County peaked at forty-five points in 1936. By 1968 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-nine points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Baker County's median household income of $60,936 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Idaho County and Logan County.