akashic
1876–2024
Carroll County, Tennessee
Carroll County·Tennessee

Carroll County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

One of west Tennessee's most reliably one-sided presidential counties

18762024·38 elections
Carroll County, Tennessee · Brian Stansberry · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+62
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
28,641
2024 ACS
Most similar
Morgan County
TN · similarity 1.00
15 precincts · 11,882 votes cast
Trump · R+62
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−61.6%
2,2339,54711,882
2020R
−55.8%
2,5599,20511,905
2016R
−52.3%
2,3277,75610,384
2012R
−34.6%
3,4757,22510,851
2008R
−29.8%
3,9807,45511,646
2004R
−13.1%
5,0706,60511,757
2000R
−2.1%
5,2395,46510,827
1996D
+7.2%
4,9124,2069,849
1992D
+7.6%
5,7414,84211,799
1988R
−15.1%
4,1515,6359,830
1984R
−13.6%
4,5686,01710,662
1980R
−3.6%
5,2775,68111,143
1976D
+15.9%
5,5814,0319,721
1972R
−41.8%
2,2905,7848,349
1968R
−20.3%
1,9323,7578,987
1964D
+4.1%
4,0563,7347,790
1960R
−20.4%
2,9614,5177,609
1956R
−13.2%
3,2324,2357,590
1952R
−13.6%
2,8413,7416,626
1948D
+2.7%
2,8182,6516,173
1944R
−18.1%
2,0772,9965,088
1940D
+0.9%
2,8302,7825,642
1936D
+13.3%
2,9892,2825,323
1932D
+1.9%
2,6032,5055,156
1928R
−26.1%
1,7432,9814,747
1924R
−5.6%
1,9622,1994,261
1920R
−12.6%
3,2154,1417,356
1916R
−5.1%
2,0012,2174,259
1912D
+7.2%
1,6531,3624,051
1908R
−11.7%
1,8022,2904,181
1904R
−18.4%
1,6332,4244,289
1900R
−12.6%
1,9312,5164,637
1896R
−5.8%
2,2932,5774,937
1892R
−9.7%
1,6362,0514,293
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.6%
African American
6.7%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
36.0%
Other Christian
10.4%
Methodist
6.4%
Mainline Protestant
2.9%
Catholic & Orthodox
0.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 43.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Carroll County's R+61.6 margin in 2024 reflects a broader shift in rural west Tennessee toward lopsided Republican presidential tallies, a trend that has deepened steadily over the past two decades as the region's small-town and agricultural electorate realigned.

The Democratic margin in Carroll County peaked at sixteen points in 1976. By 2000 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Carroll County's median household income of $51,787 sits well below state and national norms, and 17% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Morgan County and Meigs County.