akashic
1876–2024
Robertson County, Tennessee
Robertson County·Tennessee

For one hundred eight years, Robertson County voted Democratic. Then it stopped.

A rural tobacco-country county where presidential margins have widened each cycle

18762024·38 elections
Robertson County, Tennessee · TNHistory1796 · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+51
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
75,539
2024 ACS
Most similar
Bedford County
TN · similarity 0.99
18 precincts · 35,070 votes cast
Trump · R+51
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−50.8%
8,42826,26035,070
2020R
−47.0%
8,69224,53633,717
2016R
−47.1%
6,63719,41027,113
2012R
−35.6%
8,29017,64326,289
2008R
−31.1%
9,31817,90327,614
2004R
−21.6%
9,86515,33125,323
2000D
+2.8%
10,2499,67520,164
1996D
+11.0%
8,4656,68516,229
1992D
+20.5%
8,4985,27115,779
1988D
+1.5%
5,8845,71411,672
1984D
+2.8%
5,7565,44511,263
1980D
+34.3%
7,3813,56011,126
1976D
+49.9%
7,5472,50510,114
1972R
−16.1%
2,9854,1757,399
1968D
+6.4%
2,3151,8028,021
1964D
+52.6%
5,7841,7977,581
1960D
+38.7%
4,0531,7765,891
1956D
+52.8%
4,9611,5176,526
1952D
+46.8%
5,0631,8346,897
1948D
+67.6%
3,0443763,946
1944D
+66.1%
3,0746223,708
1940D
+73.5%
3,2584903,767
1936D
+73.3%
2,6293883,056
1932D
+82.4%
2,7522523,034
1928D
+28.9%
1,5438482,402
1924D
+73.8%
1,6452291,918
1920D
+43.7%
3,0461,1914,248
1916D
+47.0%
2,1067332,923
1912D
+57.8%
2,2875133,067
1908D
+52.2%
2,4187553,188
1904D
+47.0%
2,3088113,186
1900D
+38.1%
2,5641,1283,765
1896D
+34.4%
2,9431,3864,526
1892D
+29.0%
1,9388793,654
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
5.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
22.0%
Other Christian
19.8%
Methodist
7.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.5%
Mainline Protestant
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 46.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Robertson County, anchored by Springfield north of Nashville, has shifted steadily rightward over two decades as its small-town and agricultural communities diverged from the urbanizing metro core nearby.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Robertson County peaked at eighty-two points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2004 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of twenty-two points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. Robertson County's median household income of $83,047 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bedford County and Moore County.