akashic
1876–2024
Collin County, Texas
Collin County·Texas

Collin County voted Democratic for a century. The shift began with civil rights.

Once reliably red, now a single-digit battleground recalibrating fast

18762024·38 elections
Collin County, Texas · Larry D. Moore · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+11
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
1,163,337
2024 ACS
Most similar
Douglas County
CO · similarity 0.99
251 precincts · 517,690 votes cast
Trump · R+11
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−11.1%
222,115279,534517,690
2020R
−4.3%
230,945252,318492,216
2016R
−16.6%
140,624201,014364,430
2012R
−31.5%
101,415196,888303,567
2008R
−25.6%
109,047184,897296,583
2004R
−43.0%
68,935174,435245,154
2000R
−48.6%
42,884128,179175,420
1996R
−34.5%
37,85483,750132,925
1992R
−27.9%
24,50860,514128,833
1988R
−49.2%
22,93467,77691,230
1984R
−63.5%
13,60461,09574,838
1980R
−39.7%
15,18736,55953,861
1976R
−21.0%
14,03921,60836,000
1972R
−56.9%
4,78317,66722,637
1968R
−3.5%
5,9186,49416,262
1964D
+40.1%
7,8333,34111,193
1960D
+14.9%
5,2293,8659,158
1956D
+15.9%
5,2803,8239,137
1952D
+18.8%
5,9064,0379,950
1948D
+60.2%
5,5161,1557,250
1944D
+67.1%
6,5749748,344
1940D
+75.4%
7,3731,0288,412
1936D
+82.7%
5,6695316,210
1932D
+81.7%
6,0595896,698
1928R
−1.4%
3,3773,4766,876
1924D
+55.9%
7,2151,9819,365
1920D
+46.9%
4,0451,3385,778
1916D
+71.9%
4,1415944,933
1912D
+69.7%
3,1873424,083
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.7%
African American
8.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
13.3%
Other Christian
12.0%
Baptist
8.8%
Non-Christian
6.0%
Methodist
4.6%
Mainline Protestant
1.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Collin County's rapid suburban growth north of Dallas has compressed its presidential margins from R+28 in 2012 to R+11 in 2024, making it a closely watched indicator of how educated, high-income suburbs shift over time.

The shift began with civil rights. 1968 marked the realignment in Collin County, by a four points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at sixty-three points in 1984. The 2024 margin was eleven points.

The political shift has tracked, in Collin County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 54% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $121,600, and a 6% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Douglas County and Delaware County.