akashic
1876–2024
San Patricio County, Texas
San Patricio County·Texas

For eighty-four years, San Patricio County voted Democratic. Then it stopped.

A coastal bend county where Republican margins have widened steadily since 2000

18762024·38 elections
San Patricio County, Texas · Larry D. Moore · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+36
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
70,181
2024 ACS
Most similar
Refugio County
TX · similarity 0.99
25 precincts · 25,579 votes cast
Trump · R+36
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−36.4%
8,02517,33725,579
2020R
−29.1%
8,98816,51625,891
2016R
−23.8%
7,87113,03021,656
2012R
−20.7%
7,85612,00520,078
2008R
−16.6%
8,85412,40421,396
2004R
−26.8%
7,76413,47421,320
2000R
−14.8%
7,84010,59918,699
1996D
+2.7%
8,1327,67816,983
1992D
+3.9%
8,2027,45618,887
1988D
+3.9%
9,9209,15919,458
1984R
−11.2%
8,83811,07419,962
1980D
+1.7%
8,6278,32617,494
1976D
+23.5%
9,4695,85315,395
1972R
−16.7%
5,0977,17912,502
1968D
+25.0%
6,8183,71712,411
1964D
+53.2%
7,1762,1889,384
1960D
+25.2%
5,2463,1298,391
1956D
+6.0%
3,7283,3027,052
1952D
+1.5%
3,3153,2206,540
1948D
+44.1%
2,6499633,823
1944D
+47.7%
2,7128783,841
1940D
+50.0%
2,9639803,963
1936D
+63.5%
2,2134822,725
1932D
+67.6%
2,1424072,566
1928R
−41.1%
5791,3881,967
1924D
+9.3%
1,1979872,263
1920D
+32.7%
620308955
1916D
+58.2%
594130797
1912D
+42.1%
551175893
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
1.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
38.1%
Baptist
9.7%
Other Christian
8.3%
Methodist
3.1%
Non-Christian
1.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.8%
Mainline Protestant
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 37.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

San Patricio sits along the lower Coastal Bend, anchored by Sinton and the port community of Aransas Pass. Once a swing county with a large Hispanic population, it has shifted toward lopsided Republican margins over the past two decades.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in San Patricio County peaked at sixty-eight points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2000 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of fifteen points. By 2024, the margin had settled into deep Republican territory.

The economic and demographic context is severe. San Patricio County's median household income of $69,704 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Refugio County and Crosby County.