akashic
1876–2024
Conway County, Arkansas
Conway County·Arkansas

For one hundred four years, Conway County voted Democratic. Then it stopped.

A rural Ozark-fringe county where Republican margins have widened each cycle

18762024·38 elections
Conway County, Arkansas · Brandonrush · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+40
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
21,054
2024 ACS
Most similar
Ashley County
AR · similarity 0.99
31 precincts · 8,541 votes cast
Trump · R+40
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−40.3%
2,4495,8938,541
2020R
−35.5%
2,6155,6948,685
2016R
−28.6%
2,6564,8497,676
2012R
−19.5%
3,0054,5147,730
2008R
−18.9%
3,1494,6918,138
2004R
−0.3%
3,9824,0098,084
2000R
−0.7%
3,4963,5457,234
1996D
+24.0%
4,0552,3077,282
1992D
+25.7%
4,8982,7198,481
1988D
+0.8%
4,1344,0668,239
1984R
−14.8%
3,7425,0498,836
1980D
+6.0%
4,6984,1459,189
1976D
+49.4%
6,4432,1778,629
1972R
−16.3%
3,0094,1877,205
1968D
+9.0%
2,5601,9736,491
1964D
+27.7%
4,2052,3786,602
1960D
+25.3%
2,9001,6854,796
1956D
+22.9%
2,6181,6364,281
1952D
+19.6%
3,1742,1335,317
1948D
+54.8%
1,7714252,454
1944D
+42.3%
1,5796392,221
1940D
+76.7%
2,0672722,340
1936D
+73.6%
2,0133052,320
1932D
+79.2%
2,5302852,835
1928D
+38.9%
1,5146652,182
1924D
+24.6%
9095261,560
1920D
+17.8%
1,7911,2433,071
1916D
+15.2%
1,4011,0322,433
1912D
+38.2%
1,4355272,379
1908D
+50.4%
2,5338183,403
1904D
+24.9%
1,5729372,546
1900D
+33.7%
1,6358052,460
1896D
+54.6%
2,2556562,929
1892D
+23.9%
1,2847312,311
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.9%
African American
9.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
21.4%
Other Christian
11.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
8.4%
Methodist
5.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.1%
Mainline Protestant
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Conway County sits at the edge of the Arkansas River Valley with a population just over 20,000, and its presidential margins have trended steadily rightward over the past decade, reaching R+40 in 2024.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Conway County peaked at seventy-nine points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2000 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of one points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. Conway County's median household income of $54,187 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 20% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ashley County and Hot Spring County.