akashic
1876–2024
Modoc County, California
Modoc County·California

Modoc County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

California's most Republican county by presidential margin

18762024·38 elections
Modoc County, California · Miguel Vieira from Redwood City, CA, USA · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+47
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
8,600
2024 ACS
Most similar
Custer County
ID · similarity 1.00
21 precincts · 4,027 votes cast
Trump · R+47
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−46.6%
1,0082,8844,027
2020R
−44.9%
1,1503,1094,367
2016R
−47.3%
8772,6963,843
2012R
−41.5%
1,1112,7774,019
2008R
−37.7%
1,3132,9814,420
2004R
−46.7%
1,1493,2354,467
2000R
−49.3%
9452,9694,107
1996R
−21.3%
1,3682,2854,303
1992R
−6.8%
1,4891,8034,625
1988R
−27.4%
1,4162,5184,017
1984R
−41.2%
1,2192,9954,310
1980R
−38.3%
1,0462,5794,000
1976R
−4.9%
1,7331,9173,744
1972R
−22.8%
1,2712,0853,565
1968R
−13.7%
1,2641,7133,267
1964D
+17.5%
1,9721,3863,358
1960R
−4.2%
1,6911,8393,550
1956R
−6.8%
1,7291,9813,723
1952R
−22.9%
1,5482,4754,047
1948D
+4.0%
1,6071,4803,180
1944D
+8.9%
1,5401,2882,837
1940D
+23.7%
2,2321,3713,630
1936D
+30.4%
1,8289682,831
1932D
+41.4%
1,6436552,386
1928R
−13.9%
7119421,660
1924R
−21.4%
3747311,672
1920R
−28.8%
5359921,585
1916D
+21.6%
1,2227682,098
1912D
+54.9%
94101,714
1908R
−3.7%
5746201,242
1904R
−11.1%
4445591,037
1900D
+8.6%
532446996
1896D
+31.7%
588300909
1892D
+16.6%
5964061,145
1888D
+9.9%
6795521,278
1884D
+11.7%
6094781,120
1880D
+8.8%
490410906
1876D
+21.5%
322208530
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
15.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.3%
Baptist
5.6%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.2%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 66.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Modoc's high-desert ranching economy and sparse population of under 10,000 produced a 46-point Republican presidential margin in 2024—the widest of any county in a state that voted heavily Democratic statewide.

The Democratic margin in Modoc County peaked at fifty-five points in 1912. By 1968 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-seven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Modoc County's median household income of $59,455 sits well below state and national norms, and 18% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Custer County and Fremont County.