| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 37,905 | 87,705 | 126,784 | |
| 2020 | R | 38,317 | 84,480 | 124,405 | |
| 2016 | R | 27,822 | 74,963 | 106,483 | |
| 2012 | R | 25,759 | 70,022 | 96,589 | |
| 2008 | R | 26,697 | 67,203 | 94,577 | |
| 2004 | R | 18,971 | 62,078 | 81,495 | |
| 2000 | R | 14,668 | 41,903 | 57,559 | |
| 1996 | R | 13,259 | 30,370 | 47,092 | |
| 1992 | R | 10,610 | 26,360 | 45,485 | |
| 1988 | R | 7,773 | 25,942 | 33,837 | |
| 1984 | R | 5,489 | 21,571 | 27,060 | |
| 1980 | R | 7,630 | 15,643 | 24,122 | |
| 1976 | R | 8,410 | 8,468 | 17,148 | |
| 1972 | R | 1,748 | 10,467 | 12,238 | |
| 1968 | R | 1,954 | 3,251 | 9,251 | |
| 1964 | R | 3,114 | 3,805 | 6,919 | |
| 1960 | D | 2,728 | 2,515 | 5,243 | |
| 1956 | R | 2,048 | 2,372 | 4,420 | |
| 1952 | D | 2,196 | 2,116 | 4,312 | |
| 1948 | D | 1,544 | 722 | 2,742 | |
| 1944 | D | 1,251 | 520 | 1,771 | |
| 1940 | D | 1,488 | 498 | 1,986 | |
| 1936 | D | 1,251 | 562 | 1,813 | |
| 1932 | D | 1,285 | 556 | 1,841 | |
| 1928 | R | 394 | 1,088 | 1,510 | |
| 1924 | D | 339 | 171 | 593 | |
| 1920 | D | 558 | 486 | 1,123 | |
| 1916 | D | 380 | 79 | 553 | |
| 1912 | D | 279 | 26 | 390 | |
| 1908 | D | 355 | 122 | 558 | |
| 1904 | D | 247 | 50 | 325 | |
| 1900 | D | 308 | 91 | 433 | |
| 1896 | D | 355 | 230 | 611 | |
| 1892 | D | 404 | 0 | 473 | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | D | 500 | 315 | 815 | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
Anchored by the Jacksonville exurbs, Clay County has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in every cycle since 2000, making it one of the most consistent GOP strongholds in the state's rapidly growing I-95 corridor.
The shift began with civil rights. 1964 marked the realignment in Clay County, by a ten points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at seventy-one points in 1972. The 2024 margin was thirty-nine points.
The political shift has tracked, in Clay County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 70% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $87,820, and a 9% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Okaloosa County and Warren County.
