akashic
1876–2024
Clay County, Florida
Clay County·Florida

Clay County voted Democratic for a century. The shift began with civil rights.

One of Florida's most reliably red suburban counties

18762024·38 elections
Clay County, Florida · StarkeDCD · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+39
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
227,584
2024 ACS
Most similar
Okaloosa County
FL · similarity 1.00
48 precincts · 126,784 votes cast
Trump · R+39
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−39.3%
37,90587,705126,784
2020R
−37.1%
38,31784,480124,405
2016R
−44.3%
27,82274,963106,483
2012R
−45.8%
25,75970,02296,589
2008R
−42.8%
26,69767,20394,577
2004R
−52.9%
18,97162,07881,495
2000R
−47.3%
14,66841,90357,559
1996R
−36.3%
13,25930,37047,092
1992R
−34.6%
10,61026,36045,485
1988R
−53.7%
7,77325,94233,837
1984R
−59.4%
5,48921,57127,060
1980R
−33.2%
7,63015,64324,122
1976R
−0.3%
8,4108,46817,148
1972R
−71.2%
1,74810,46712,238
1968R
−14.0%
1,9543,2519,251
1964R
−10.0%
3,1143,8056,919
1960D
+4.1%
2,7282,5155,243
1956R
−7.3%
2,0482,3724,420
1952D
+1.9%
2,1962,1164,312
1948D
+30.0%
1,5447222,742
1944D
+41.3%
1,2515201,771
1940D
+49.8%
1,4884981,986
1936D
+38.0%
1,2515621,813
1932D
+39.6%
1,2855561,841
1928R
−46.0%
3941,0881,510
1924D
+28.3%
339171593
1920D
+6.4%
5584861,123
1916D
+54.4%
38079553
1912D
+64.9%
27926390
1908D
+41.8%
355122558
1904D
+60.6%
24750325
1900D
+50.1%
30891433
1896D
+20.5%
355230611
1892D
+85.4%
4040473
1888
No data
1884D
+22.7%
500315815
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.5%
African American
9.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
13.0%
Baptist
11.6%
Other Christian
10.5%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Methodist
1.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.8%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by the Jacksonville exurbs, Clay County has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in every cycle since 2000, making it one of the most consistent GOP strongholds in the state's rapidly growing I-95 corridor.

The shift began with civil rights. 1964 marked the realignment in Clay County, by a ten points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at seventy-one points in 1972. The 2024 margin was thirty-nine points.

The political shift has tracked, in Clay County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 70% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $87,820, and a 9% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Okaloosa County and Warren County.