akashic
1876–2024
St. Joseph County, Indiana
St. Joseph County·Indiana

St. Joseph County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

A mid-size Midwest county that swung to near-parity by 2024

18762024·38 elections
St. Joseph County, Indiana · Calvin Beale · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
273,040
2024 ACS
Most similar
Peoria County
IL · similarity 0.94
211 precincts · 110,824 votes cast
Harris · D+1
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+1.5%
55,21553,585110,824
2020D
+5.8%
59,89653,164115,238
2016D
+0.2%
52,24752,019111,835
2012D
+3.5%
56,46052,578111,009
2008D
+17.1%
68,71048,510118,389
2004R
−2.4%
52,63755,254108,619
2000D
+0.1%
47,70347,58197,474
1996D
+8.0%
45,70438,28193,188
1992D
+7.0%
46,20338,934104,465
1988R
−1.5%
48,05649,48197,864
1984R
−6.7%
47,51354,404102,493
1980R
−6.2%
44,21850,607103,114
1976R
−1.2%
49,15650,358100,324
1972R
−21.7%
41,62964,808107,039
1968D
+0.3%
47,41447,114106,864
1964D
+24.4%
65,84439,872106,346
1960D
+8.5%
63,55353,621117,499
1956R
−3.3%
54,15257,827112,472
1952R
−0.2%
53,26953,537107,632
1948D
+11.3%
49,86639,59390,846
1944D
+8.3%
47,14939,87587,589
1940D
+11.5%
45,62036,16482,158
1936D
+24.6%
43,13125,80770,339
1932D
+14.3%
38,02628,19868,563
1928R
−15.6%
26,84636,84464,006
1924R
−21.0%
15,05623,68241,082
1920R
−17.0%
12,35517,67531,305
1916D
+9.4%
9,7097,96118,505
1912D
+14.4%
5,3913,14615,601
1908R
−12.8%
8,56211,22220,813
1904R
−29.1%
5,96711,16617,854
1900R
−7.7%
6,9488,12715,305
1896R
−6.6%
6,2477,13813,521
1892D
+7.4%
6,0775,22011,619
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
1.2%
African American
10.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
17.3%
Other Christian
11.2%
Baptist
3.4%
Methodist
2.8%
Mainline Protestant
2.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Non-Christian
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to South Bend and the University of Notre Dame, St. Joseph County has trended competitive over the last decade, with its 2024 presidential margin landing within 1.5 points — unusually close for a county anchored by a major research university.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-five points in 1936; the Republican margin reached twenty-nine points in 1904. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

St. Joseph County's demographics — a population of 273,040, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $66,868 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Peoria County and Sandoval County.