| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 2,553 | 5,790 | 8,460 | |
| 2020 | R | 2,976 | 5,850 | 8,989 | |
| 2016 | R | 2,787 | 5,254 | 8,639 | |
| 2012 | R | 4,075 | 4,670 | 8,898 | |
| 2008 | D | 4,393 | 4,315 | 8,859 | |
| 2004 | R | 4,015 | 4,875 | 8,949 | |
| 2000 | R | 3,734 | 4,486 | 8,435 | |
| 1996 | D | 4,053 | 3,505 | 8,324 | |
| 1992 | D | 3,792 | 3,590 | 8,979 | |
| 1988 | D | 5,088 | 3,856 | 9,001 | |
| 1984 | R | 4,477 | 5,195 | 9,732 | |
| 1980 | R | 3,757 | 5,329 | 9,920 | |
| 1976 | R | 4,479 | 4,682 | 9,328 | |
| 1972 | R | 3,516 | 5,869 | 9,556 | |
| 1968 | R | 3,227 | 5,308 | 9,134 | |
| 1964 | D | 5,459 | 3,828 | 9,304 | |
| 1960 | R | 3,888 | 6,438 | 10,330 | |
| 1956 | R | 3,775 | 6,642 | 10,432 | |
| 1952 | R | 3,205 | 7,880 | 11,132 | |
| 1948 | R | 4,023 | 4,553 | 8,854 | |
| 1944 | R | 3,975 | 5,059 | 9,094 | |
| 1940 | R | 4,764 | 5,692 | 10,491 | |
| 1936 | D | 5,429 | 4,306 | 9,933 | |
| 1932 | D | 5,022 | 3,523 | 9,246 | |
| 1928 | R | 2,373 | 5,731 | 8,150 | |
| 1924 | R | 634 | 4,714 | 7,921 | |
| 1920 | R | 1,076 | 6,646 | 7,915 | |
| 1916 | R | 1,481 | 3,335 | 4,925 | |
| 1912 | D | 1,072 | 732 | 4,454 | |
| 1908 | R | 1,187 | 3,123 | 4,477 | |
| 1904 | R | 749 | 3,643 | 4,615 | |
| 1900 | R | 1,268 | 3,741 | 5,151 | |
| 1896 | R | 1,568 | 3,575 | 5,222 | |
| 1892 | R | 1,549 | 2,665 | 4,369 | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
Hardin County's presidential margins have widened steadily over the past three cycles, reaching R+38 in 2024 — a shift driven by a largely rural, agriculture-dependent population with one of the state's lower population densities.
The Republican margin in Hardin County reached its widest at seventy points in 1920. The margin in 2024 was thirty-eight points, in line with the county's deep historical pattern.
Hardin County's loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $65,069, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 16,639 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wright County and Hamilton County.
