akashic
1876–2024
Muscatine County, Iowa
Muscatine County·Iowa

Muscatine County votes the way the country votes.

A Mississippi River county that has drifted steadily rightward over two decades

18762024·38 elections
Muscatine County, Iowa · Thug outlaw69 at en.wikipedia · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+15
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
42,559
2024 ACS
Most similar
Lafayette County
WI · similarity 0.98
25 precincts · 19,752 votes cast
Trump · R+15
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−14.9%
8,21211,15219,752
2020R
−7.0%
9,37210,82320,671
2016R
−6.2%
8,3689,58419,623
2012D
+15.9%
11,3238,16819,865
2008D
+15.6%
10,9207,92919,119
2004D
+2.8%
9,5429,02018,717
2000D
+3.6%
8,0587,48316,076
1996D
+11.8%
7,6745,85815,386
1992D
+5.9%
7,0896,08716,864
1988D
+1.1%
7,0596,90414,102
1984R
−20.3%
5,9869,06915,168
1980R
−14.7%
5,5977,82915,145
1976R
−7.8%
6,5677,69714,496
1972R
−25.8%
4,9178,43613,642
1968R
−20.5%
4,7267,36112,874
1964D
+18.2%
8,0205,54713,577
1960R
−16.5%
6,1358,55514,698
1956R
−19.8%
5,7188,55214,298
1952R
−23.6%
5,7729,36115,196
1948R
−4.6%
5,4666,00311,615
1944R
−19.3%
4,8017,10411,963
1940R
−18.8%
5,8258,54314,421
1936D
+2.0%
6,5936,33213,313
1932D
+2.0%
6,4236,16012,917
1928R
−35.7%
4,0558,60412,757
1924R
−48.4%
1,9637,73111,917
1920R
−50.4%
2,2938,11511,544
1916R
−17.1%
2,6943,9297,242
1912D
+26.6%
2,6797897,110
1908R
−6.8%
3,0383,5257,131
1904R
−20.9%
2,5554,0367,076
1900R
−12.4%
3,0213,9057,110
1896R
−11.6%
2,8633,6276,592
1892D
+4.1%
2,9642,7265,874
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
1.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
11.6%
Mainline Protestant
8.9%
Other Christian
5.3%
Methodist
5.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.9%
Baptist
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Muscatine County, anchored by its industrial river city, voted within single digits of the national average as recently as 2008 but has since moved sharply toward Republican margins, reflecting broader rural and working-class realignment across the Iowa River corridor.

The Democratic margin in Muscatine County has rarely exceeded twenty-seven points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by fifteen points.

Muscatine County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 81% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $69,396 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lafayette County and Whiteside County.