akashic
1876–2024
Scott County, Iowa
Scott County·Iowa

Scott County votes the way the country votes.

A Mississippi River county that has drifted rightward each cycle since 2012

18762024·38 elections
Scott County, Iowa · Ctjf83 at English Wikipedia · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+4
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
174,608
2024 ACS
Most similar
Big Horn County
MT · similarity 0.97
66 precincts · 90,133 votes cast
Trump · R+4
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−3.9%
42,47945,97690,133
2020D
+3.5%
46,92643,68392,599
2016D
+1.5%
40,44039,14987,286
2012D
+13.7%
50,65238,25190,263
2008D
+14.5%
48,92736,36586,371
2004D
+2.6%
42,12239,95882,722
2000D
+4.3%
35,85732,80170,568
1996D
+9.1%
32,69426,75165,202
1992D
+6.6%
33,76528,84474,662
1988D
+5.1%
34,41531,02566,035
1984R
−7.7%
32,55038,03471,212
1980R
−12.2%
26,39134,70167,926
1976R
−8.0%
29,77135,02165,940
1972R
−17.4%
23,81034,13559,455
1968R
−2.2%
24,59625,78355,018
1964D
+23.6%
31,52619,48851,098
1960R
−9.1%
23,00427,61750,671
1956R
−19.1%
18,96927,96547,104
1952R
−24.8%
17,80729,71948,026
1948R
−0.5%
16,66116,84234,081
1944D
+2.6%
18,96218,01537,081
1940D
+6.3%
20,99618,50439,630
1936D
+23.6%
20,73712,69134,145
1932D
+8.2%
16,88714,21832,455
1928R
−13.4%
12,94216,97430,058
1924R
−46.0%
4,34718,36030,438
1920R
−38.9%
5,47316,23327,631
1916R
−21.1%
5,2128,32914,770
1912D
+29.7%
5,6321,56813,679
1908R
−7.4%
5,8456,84513,489
1904R
−14.2%
4,9316,78913,066
1900R
−9.6%
5,1576,32712,155
1896R
−21.8%
4,0326,41910,930
1892D
+34.4%
6,2052,9999,328
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.7%
African American
5.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
16.3%
Mainline Protestant
9.6%
Other Christian
6.7%
Methodist
2.4%
Baptist
2.0%
Non-Christian
1.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to Davenport and anchoring Iowa's Quad Cities metro, Scott County shifted from a reliable Democratic stronghold to an R+3.9 result in 2024, tracking a broader blue-collar realignment along the upper Mississippi corridor.

The Democratic margin in Scott County has rarely exceeded thirty-four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-six points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by four points.

Scott County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 79% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $78,277 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Big Horn County and Erie County.