akashic
1876–2024
Cibola County, New Mexico
Cibola County·New Mexico

Cibola County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

A rural New Mexico county where a 1.6-point margin reflects genuine competitiveness

18762024·38 elections
Cibola County, New Mexico · AllenS · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+2
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
26,845
2024 ACS
Most similar
Big Horn County
MT · similarity 0.99
30 precincts · 8,977 votes cast
Harris · D+2
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+1.5%
4,4504,3118,977
2020D
+8.6%
4,7453,9758,903
2016D
+6.8%
3,7413,1958,063
2012D
+23.8%
4,9612,9988,243
2008D
+29.6%
5,8273,1319,097
2004D
+5.8%
3,9133,4777,487
2000D
+19.4%
4,1272,7527,088
1996D
+25.9%
4,0302,2456,880
1992D
+20.4%
3,3342,0516,284
1988D
+13.3%
3,4582,6406,137
1984R
−6.5%
3,1403,5786,740
1980
No data
1976
No data
1972
No data
1968
No data
1964
No data
1960
No data
1956
No data
1952
No data
1948
No data
1944
No data
1940
No data
1936
No data
1932
No data
1928
No data
1924
No data
1920
No data
1916
No data
1912
No data
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
1.5%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
37.9%
Other Christian
9.5%
Baptist
2.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Non-Christian
1.2%
Mainline Protestant
0.3%
Methodist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 46.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Cibola County's electorate, shaped by a majority-Native American and Hispanic population centered around Grants and Acoma Pueblo, has shifted from reliably Democratic to one of the closer rural contests in the state over the past two cycles.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached thirty points in 2008; the Republican margin reached six points in 1984. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Cibola County's demographics — a population of 26,845, a 30% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $50,759 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Big Horn County and Guadalupe County.