akashic
1876–2024
Wayne County, Kentucky
Wayne County·Kentucky

Wayne County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

One of Kentucky's most lopsided presidential counties in 2024

18762024·38 elections
Wayne County, Kentucky · W.marsh · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+66
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
19,602
2024 ACS
Most similar
Estill County
KY · similarity 1.00
19 precincts · 8,733 votes cast
Trump · R+66
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−65.9%
1,4447,2038,733
2020R
−62.0%
1,7007,4309,240
2016R
−61.8%
1,4316,3717,992
2012R
−47.6%
1,8555,2897,210
2008R
−37.1%
2,2014,8687,196
2004R
−31.4%
2,6165,0277,685
2000R
−27.1%
2,3124,0696,474
1996R
−11.6%
2,4223,1226,055
1992R
−13.8%
2,5163,4126,507
1988R
−28.1%
2,0573,6725,747
1984R
−32.2%
2,2774,4496,741
1980R
−19.3%
2,6733,9726,716
1976R
−12.1%
2,5373,2435,817
1972R
−30.6%
1,8533,5145,420
1968R
−31.7%
1,4673,0555,002
1964D
+6.8%
2,7372,3895,144
1960R
−33.8%
1,9643,9735,937
1956R
−22.8%
2,2633,6095,902
1952R
−16.0%
2,4613,3965,861
1948R
−9.9%
2,0292,4804,548
1944R
−20.2%
2,0223,0485,070
1940R
−11.5%
2,5193,1775,702
1936R
−6.9%
2,5462,9245,480
1932D
+4.4%
2,9292,6825,646
1928R
−28.0%
1,6352,9074,550
1924R
−9.3%
2,0202,4364,485
1920R
−24.0%
1,8272,9924,849
1916R
−8.7%
1,3731,6383,034
1912D
+28.2%
2,1681,0963,802
1908R
−14.6%
1,4361,9363,425
1904R
−13.2%
1,2021,5772,842
1900R
−6.8%
1,3731,5742,960
1896R
−8.4%
1,1901,4132,644
1892R
−2.7%
9319862,042
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
1.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
49.6%
Methodist
8.6%
Other Christian
5.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.9%
Catholic & Orthodox
0.9%
Mainline Protestant
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 33.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Wayne County's R+66 margin in 2024 places it among the most heavily one-sided counties in the state, reflecting a rural, Appalachian-adjacent electorate that has shifted sharply from its historically Democratic roots over the past two decades.

The Democratic margin in Wayne County peaked at twenty-eight points in 1912. By 1968 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixty-six points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Wayne County's median household income of $45,739 sits well below state and national norms, and 25% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Estill County and Grainger County.