akashic
1876–2024
Claiborne County, Tennessee
Claiborne County·Tennessee

Claiborne County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

One of Tennessee's steepest presidential margins in the Cumberland foothills

18762024·38 elections
Claiborne County, Tennessee · Brian Stansberry · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+70
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
32,466
2024 ACS
Most similar
Hardin County
TN · similarity 1.00
16 precincts · 13,534 votes cast
Trump · R+70
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−70.1%
1,97111,46313,534
2020R
−64.9%
2,20210,60412,945
2016R
−63.0%
1,8328,60210,740
2012R
−50.9%
2,4337,61710,178
2008R
−39.3%
3,0787,17510,420
2004R
−22.9%
4,0346,44810,540
2000R
−13.1%
3,8415,0239,000
1996R
−1.9%
3,8614,0238,679
1992D
+4.7%
4,5094,0659,485
1988R
−15.4%
2,9774,0717,082
1984R
−21.8%
2,8704,4747,371
1980R
−19.9%
2,8444,2897,263
1976D
+3.5%
3,4613,2276,743
1972R
−48.9%
1,2303,6324,912
1968R
−34.4%
1,3143,1015,190
1964R
−5.0%
2,5812,8525,433
1960R
−28.8%
2,1423,8886,056
1956R
−25.9%
1,9733,3775,428
1952R
−19.2%
2,1823,2215,403
1948R
−9.4%
2,0682,5074,686
1944R
−19.0%
1,6492,4264,098
1940R
−1.5%
2,7922,8795,764
1936D
+11.7%
3,0362,4005,450
1932D
+34.1%
3,5181,7255,265
1928R
−35.4%
1,2252,5653,790
1924R
−23.1%
1,0911,7752,960
1920R
−35.8%
1,2362,6123,848
1916R
−14.0%
1,0531,3982,470
1912D
+12.0%
9035892,609
1908R
−25.4%
9711,6372,627
1904R
−1.7%
9599931,969
1900R
−12.3%
7709871,763
1896R
−31.7%
1,1522,2303,398
1892R
−17.5%
9861,4372,577
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
49.8%
Other Christian
3.9%
Methodist
1.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
0.3%
Mainline Protestant
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Claiborne County sits in the ridge-and-valley terrain of northeastern Tennessee, where coal and tobacco heritage shaped a rural white working-class electorate that has delivered Republican presidential margins above 60 points in each of the last three cycles.

The Democratic margin in Claiborne County peaked at thirty-four points in 1932. By 1996 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was seventy points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Claiborne County's median household income of $49,379 sits well below state and national norms, and 17% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hardin County and Union County.