akashic
1876–2024
Berrien County, Michigan
Berrien County·Michigan

Berrien County votes the way the country votes.

Southwest Michigan's Lake Michigan shoreline anchors a competitive swing county

18762024·38 elections
Berrien County, Michigan · Russell Sekeet (amtrak_russ) · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+8
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
153,288
2024 ACS
Most similar
Carson City
NV · similarity 0.98
120 precincts · 84,668 votes cast
Trump · R+8
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−7.9%
38,32344,97584,668
2020R
−7.4%
37,43843,51982,391
2016R
−12.7%
29,49538,64772,031
2012R
−6.5%
33,46538,20972,762
2008D
+5.5%
40,38136,13077,666
2004R
−11.0%
32,84641,07674,671
2000R
−11.6%
28,15235,68965,241
1996R
−6.1%
24,61428,25459,295
1992R
−4.9%
25,84029,25269,615
1988R
−26.3%
21,94837,79960,183
1984R
−33.8%
21,22843,16064,824
1980R
−28.4%
22,15241,45867,978
1976R
−23.5%
25,16340,83566,798
1972R
−38.8%
18,59743,04763,060
1968R
−17.3%
21,26632,13662,916
1964D
+12.1%
33,65326,38760,162
1960R
−22.1%
23,83737,42561,506
1956R
−31.3%
18,45435,39754,045
1952R
−26.5%
19,08832,93252,320
1948R
−20.0%
14,51622,00337,361
1944R
−21.9%
15,88624,83240,934
1940R
−14.6%
16,96122,77839,947
1936D
+14.8%
20,82215,32137,125
1932D
+13.0%
18,44714,12333,264
1928R
−37.8%
8,55519,06427,791
1924R
−45.6%
4,44515,61224,497
1920R
−51.2%
4,85515,74821,265
1916R
−10.4%
6,0547,51113,991
1912D
+12.3%
4,2252,75211,935
1908R
−21.3%
4,5987,26012,503
1904R
−30.1%
3,8197,30911,604
1900R
−13.8%
4,9606,59511,889
1896R
−15.8%
4,7926,67211,888
1892R
−2.6%
4,7164,97910,256
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
2.2%
African American
10.6%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
14.2%
Catholic & Orthodox
11.3%
Mainline Protestant
6.4%
Baptist
4.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.9%
Methodist
2.7%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Berrien has oscillated between single-digit margins across recent cycles, with its mix of lakefront resort communities, manufacturing towns like Benton Harbor, and a significant Black urban population creating unusual demographic tension for a county its size.

The Democratic margin in Berrien County has rarely exceeded fifteen points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-one points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by eight points.

Berrien County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 74% non-Hispanic-white share, a 15% poverty rate, and a median household income of $65,425 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Carson City and Clinton County.