akashic
1876–2024
Blaine County, Montana
Blaine County·Montana

Blaine County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

A reservation-anchored county where margins have narrowed sharply in recent cycles

18762024·38 elections
Blaine County, Montana · J.B. Chandler · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+6
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
6,949
2024 ACS
Most similar
Winneshiek County
IA · similarity 0.89
8 precincts · 3,019 votes cast
Trump · R+6
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−5.9%
1,3481,5263,019
2020D
+3.8%
1,5891,4693,117
2016R
−2.5%
1,2021,2682,684
2012D
+15.3%
1,6161,1782,859
2008D
+19.3%
1,7021,1392,924
2004R
−4.5%
1,3001,4242,768
2000R
−5.9%
1,2461,4102,759
1996D
+6.5%
1,3161,1272,893
1992D
+12.6%
1,3559713,046
1988D
+2.0%
1,4601,4022,912
1984R
−16.9%
1,2291,7362,997
1980R
−19.3%
1,1071,6862,995
1976D
+0.3%
1,3561,3492,739
1972R
−13.0%
1,1511,5132,779
1968R
−3.5%
1,1981,2912,655
1964D
+28.9%
1,7429612,703
1960D
+9.7%
1,5691,2902,876
1956R
−0.8%
1,4381,4602,898
1952R
−22.0%
1,2071,8903,106
1948D
+24.5%
1,6699972,748
1944D
+19.3%
1,4699902,479
1940D
+29.0%
2,1291,1653,327
1936D
+42.8%
2,1668513,074
1932D
+28.9%
1,9771,0633,160
1928R
−13.9%
1,1601,5372,714
1924R
−27.1%
3378271,808
1920R
−31.7%
8481,7202,753
1916D
+18.4%
1,2618572,190
1912D
+10.0%
3182041,137
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Italian
0.6%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.0%
Other Christian
9.4%
Mainline Protestant
7.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.5%
Methodist
1.5%
Baptist
0.9%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Blaine County's Fort Belknap Indian Reservation shapes its electorate in ways that set it apart from surrounding Hi-Line counties, and the 2024 presidential margin of R+5.9 reflects a competitive mix absent in most of rural Montana.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached forty-three points in 1936; the Republican margin reached thirty-two points in 1920. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Blaine County's demographics — a population of 6,949, a 44% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $64,813 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Winneshiek County and Pasquotank County.