akashic
1876–2024
Dutchess County, New York
Dutchess County·New York

Dutchess County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

Hudson Valley county that has shifted steadily toward Democrats since 2000

18762024·38 elections
Dutchess County, New York · Mfwills (talk) · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+5
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
298,220
2024 ACS
Most similar
Oakland County
MI · similarity 0.94
171 precincts · 153,413 votes cast
Harris · D+5
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+5.4%
79,99471,778153,413
2020D
+9.7%
81,44366,872150,745
2016D
+0.4%
62,28561,821131,018
2012D
+7.5%
65,31256,025123,705
2008D
+8.6%
71,06059,628132,302
2004R
−4.1%
58,23263,372123,881
2000R
−0.2%
52,39052,669111,771
1996D
+5.2%
47,33941,929103,821
1992R
−4.4%
41,65546,709115,328
1988R
−22.8%
38,96862,165101,959
1984R
−36.2%
32,86770,324103,580
1980R
−26.9%
28,61653,61693,007
1976R
−15.3%
37,53151,31290,111
1972R
−39.8%
27,87264,86492,903
1968R
−17.1%
31,02545,03282,067
1964D
+25.9%
50,17929,50379,725
1960R
−21.4%
29,84246,10976,004
1956R
−56.7%
14,87653,84068,716
1952R
−42.5%
18,64446,38165,198
1948R
−31.4%
17,43934,06753,039
1944R
−18.1%
22,77832,89055,826
1940R
−11.6%
25,59832,32958,049
1936R
−8.1%
24,46728,86854,345
1932R
−11.5%
20,37425,75746,871
1928R
−25.5%
16,74828,68746,801
1924R
−38.8%
8,86422,17334,303
1920R
−34.8%
9,93821,15232,246
1916R
−10.7%
8,90611,08220,298
1912R
−0.2%
8,8718,91620,425
1908R
−10.5%
8,96111,13220,775
1904R
−16.7%
8,27511,70920,521
1900R
−21.1%
7,69111,93620,098
1896R
−28.3%
6,63412,12719,422
1892R
−2.0%
8,9789,37619,495
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
7.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
33.7%
Other Christian
5.3%
Mainline Protestant
3.3%
Non-Christian
2.2%
Methodist
1.9%
Baptist
1.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Dutchess sits in the mid-Hudson Valley, where an influx of New York City exurbanites has gradually narrowed and reversed a once-reliable Republican margin, leaving it competitive in most statewide races.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-six points in 1964; the Republican margin reached fifty-seven points in 1956. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Dutchess County's demographics — a population of 298,220, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $99,478 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Oakland County and Hillsborough County.