akashic
1876–2024
Chautauqua County, New York
Chautauqua County·New York

Chautauqua County has voted Republican for as long as anyone can remember.

Lake Erie's southwestern corner, shifting steadily rightward since 2000

18762024·38 elections
Chautauqua County, New York · Nyttend · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+22
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
125,544
2024 ACS
Most similar
Chippewa County
MI · similarity 0.99
90 precincts · 57,046 votes cast
Trump · R+22
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−21.8%
22,08534,52857,046
2020R
−19.9%
23,08834,85359,196
2016R
−23.1%
19,09131,59454,234
2012R
−7.9%
23,81227,97152,852
2008D
+0.9%
29,12928,57958,802
2004R
−8.5%
27,25732,43460,944
2000R
−3.5%
27,01629,06458,722
1996D
+9.9%
26,83121,26156,290
1992D
+2.3%
22,64521,22262,789
1988R
−10.1%
25,81431,64257,867
1984R
−26.5%
22,98639,59762,724
1980R
−12.3%
22,87130,08158,756
1976R
−10.2%
27,44733,73061,436
1972R
−17.2%
26,25337,15863,583
1968R
−3.6%
26,43128,56158,507
1964D
+38.4%
42,92419,06962,056
1960R
−14.7%
28,14337,83666,031
1956R
−37.1%
20,26944,14964,418
1952R
−28.4%
23,42742,04365,620
1948R
−17.8%
20,68329,96952,144
1944R
−19.5%
22,08632,82455,174
1940R
−24.4%
21,52435,53657,316
1936R
−13.0%
23,28330,43554,927
1932R
−27.0%
16,91430,47950,275
1928R
−47.5%
13,22338,22052,584
1924R
−57.9%
5,56029,75741,764
1920R
−54.0%
6,78127,61838,587
1916R
−32.1%
7,15314,78223,770
1912R
−13.5%
4,9547,89921,844
1908R
−39.9%
6,15815,73923,985
1904R
−46.5%
5,29515,89122,775
1900R
−38.2%
6,66015,31822,652
1896R
−36.0%
6,58114,32521,507
1892R
−26.2%
6,39711,59519,866
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Italian
0.8%
African American
2.1%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
16.5%
Other Christian
7.7%
Methodist
6.5%
Mainline Protestant
3.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.1%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Baptist
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Chautauqua County's manufacturing decline and rural demographic weight have driven a decades-long realignment: a county that backed Bill Clinton twice now delivers Republican presidential margins above 20 points.

The Republican margin in Chautauqua County reached its widest at fifty-eight points in 1924. The margin in 2024 was twenty-two points, in line with the county's deep historical pattern.

Chautauqua County's loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $58,351, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 125,544 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chippewa County and Cheboygan County.