akashic
1876–2024
Niagara County, New York
Niagara County·New York

Niagara County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

A mid-sized Rust Belt county that has swung sharply rightward over two decades

18762024·38 elections
Niagara County, New York · Pubdog (talk) · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+15
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
210,721
2024 ACS
Most similar
Luzerne County
PA · similarity 0.96
125 precincts · 102,918 votes cast
Trump · R+15
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−14.8%
43,43858,678102,918
2020R
−9.6%
46,02956,068104,123
2016R
−17.8%
35,55951,96192,402
2012D
+0.8%
43,98643,24089,013
2008D
+1.0%
47,30346,34895,272
2004D
+0.5%
47,60247,11196,580
2000D
+7.3%
47,78140,95293,270
1996D
+14.3%
44,20331,43889,444
1992D
+5.4%
35,64930,40196,584
1988D
+1.5%
43,80142,53786,868
1984R
−10.7%
41,36851,28992,858
1980D
+1.9%
40,40538,76086,394
1976R
−2.7%
43,66746,10190,239
1972R
−16.8%
38,99154,77794,091
1968D
+3.6%
41,99938,79687,925
1964D
+40.2%
67,26028,66395,985
1960D
+1.6%
51,68050,001101,765
1956R
−34.9%
30,16162,43392,594
1952R
−20.0%
36,50454,84391,499
1948R
−2.4%
34,11935,85872,219
1944R
−3.8%
34,85037,61472,666
1940R
−5.0%
33,20736,72970,101
1936R
−1.5%
29,20730,14461,415
1932R
−19.1%
20,76530,85252,891
1928R
−31.2%
16,88133,22952,453
1924R
−47.0%
7,99325,87438,062
1920R
−44.4%
7,41621,19331,032
1916R
−18.1%
8,36712,21221,224
1912D
+10.6%
7,6475,65418,808
1908R
−12.6%
8,57411,14520,356
1904R
−17.4%
7,55010,88119,155
1900R
−9.2%
7,7269,35217,601
1896R
−14.1%
6,4418,62615,490
1892D
+1.3%
6,8506,66314,537
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
English
0.6%
African American
5.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
29.4%
Other Christian
6.0%
Mainline Protestant
6.0%
Methodist
2.8%
Non-Christian
2.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.2%
Baptist
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Niagara County, anchored by Lockport and the falls-adjacent city of Niagara Falls, shifted from a competitive swing county to a reliably Republican-leaning one as its industrial-era Democratic base eroded alongside manufacturing employment.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached forty points in 1964; the Republican margin reached forty-seven points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Niagara County's demographics — a population of 210,721, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $69,633 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Luzerne County and Alpena County.