akashic
1876–2024
Bucks County, Pennsylvania
Bucks County·Pennsylvania

Bucks County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

Philadelphia's northeastern neighbor decided by fewer than 1,000 votes in 2024

18762024·38 elections
Bucks County, Pennsylvania · Smallbones · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
Tied
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
647,461
2024 ACS
Most similar
Montgomery County
OH · similarity 0.93
304 precincts · 402,349 votes cast
Trump · R+0
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−0.1%
198,431198,722402,349
2020D
+4.4%
204,712187,367396,234
2016D
+0.8%
167,060164,361345,042
2012D
+1.2%
160,521156,579321,266
2008D
+8.6%
179,031150,248332,924
2004D
+2.8%
163,438154,469319,816
2000D
+4.2%
132,914121,927263,422
1996D
+3.7%
103,31394,899227,363
1992D
+1.3%
97,90294,584248,507
1988R
−21.2%
82,472127,563212,640
1984R
−27.0%
74,568130,119205,719
1980R
−22.9%
59,120100,536181,164
1976R
−3.4%
79,83885,628168,923
1972R
−26.8%
56,78499,684160,059
1968R
−8.4%
57,63469,646143,211
1964D
+21.7%
78,28750,243129,176
1960R
−8.3%
57,17767,501125,116
1956R
−21.6%
38,54159,86298,583
1952R
−25.2%
24,30140,75365,329
1948R
−27.1%
16,65529,41147,084
1944R
−17.9%
17,82325,63443,727
1940R
−10.0%
20,58625,16945,984
1936D
+0.6%
24,15923,86048,895
1932R
−21.7%
14,13522,33137,807
1928R
−53.7%
8,44628,42137,168
1924R
−41.7%
6,58217,46026,108
1920R
−33.5%
6,86714,13021,681
1916R
−10.4%
7,4919,26917,174
1912D
+7.8%
6,7735,45217,037
1908R
−12.8%
7,2339,40917,004
1904R
−17.2%
6,7199,57216,581
1900R
−11.8%
7,2879,26316,803
1896R
−18.3%
6,6859,79817,007
1892D
+0.9%
8,3908,23016,892
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Italian
0.5%
African American
3.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
34.7%
Mainline Protestant
5.4%
Other Christian
4.4%
Non-Christian
2.7%
Methodist
1.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.5%
Baptist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Once a reliably Republican suburban county, Bucks has tracked closely with the national suburban realignment, flipping between parties four times in the last six presidential cycles and landing at R+0.1 in 2024.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-two points in 1964; the Republican margin reached fifty-four points in 1928. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Bucks County's demographics — a population of 647,461, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $114,764 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Montgomery County and St. Lucie County.