akashic
1876–2024
St. Lucie County, Florida
St. Lucie County·Florida

St. Lucie County votes the way the country votes.

A former swing county that has shifted steadily rightward since 2016

18762024·38 elections
St. Lucie County, Florida · Georgia Guercio · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+9
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
360,500
2024 ACS
Most similar
Pinellas County
FL · similarity 0.98
61 precincts · 185,080 votes cast
Trump · R+9
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−9.1%
83,483100,276185,080
2020R
−1.6%
84,13786,831172,169
2016R
−2.4%
66,88170,289140,847
2012D
+7.9%
65,86956,202123,027
2008D
+12.1%
67,12552,512120,579
2004D
+4.2%
51,83547,592100,063
2000D
+8.8%
41,56034,70577,990
1996D
+9.8%
36,16928,89973,906
1992R
−0.8%
23,87624,40068,233
1988R
−29.7%
17,44632,31950,079
1984R
−36.8%
13,04028,20041,247
1980R
−26.1%
10,34718,12629,830
1976D
+3.7%
12,38611,50224,209
1972R
−51.1%
4,59314,25818,910
1968R
−12.1%
5,2327,28116,923
1964D
+3.6%
7,7487,20414,952
1960R
−8.5%
5,3606,35411,714
1956R
−33.1%
2,7315,4358,166
1952R
−25.3%
2,7824,6677,449
1948D
+0.3%
1,7041,6894,440
1944D
+39.7%
2,1299203,049
1940D
+38.5%
2,1699623,131
1936D
+59.3%
1,9464972,443
1932D
+60.8%
1,6023901,992
1928R
−13.8%
7419831,759
1924D
+14.0%
7225241,418
1920D
+23.0%
1,1677071,997
1916D
+55.8%
7031341,020
1912D
+60.7%
35245506
1908D
+50.0%
28063434
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
17.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
20.3%
Other Christian
8.9%
Baptist
2.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.5%
Methodist
1.0%
Mainline Protestant
1.0%
Non-Christian
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 64.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

St. Lucie sits on Florida's Treasure Coast with a majority-minority population that nonetheless delivered a 9-point Republican margin in 2024, reflecting a broader realignment among working-class and Hispanic voters statewide.

The Democratic margin in St. Lucie County has rarely exceeded sixty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-one points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by nine points.

St. Lucie County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 57% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $71,457 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pinellas County and Suffolk County.