akashic
1876–2024
Jefferson County, Pennsylvania
Jefferson County·Pennsylvania

Jefferson County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

One of Pennsylvania's most lopsided presidential counties in 2024

18762024·38 elections
Jefferson County, Pennsylvania · Doug Kerr from Albany, NY, United States · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+58
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
43,864
2024 ACS
Most similar
Wayne County
IL · similarity 1.00
37 precincts · 23,183 votes cast
Trump · R+58
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−58.4%
4,70718,23523,183
2020R
−58.9%
4,52717,96022,824
2016R
−58.9%
3,65015,19219,595
2012R
−45.4%
4,78713,04818,178
2008R
−29.8%
6,44712,05718,802
2004R
−37.3%
6,07313,37119,560
2000R
−33.6%
5,56611,47317,586
1996R
−14.0%
5,8468,15616,457
1992R
−7.2%
5,9987,27117,711
1988R
−21.8%
6,2359,74316,109
1984R
−31.0%
5,95011,33417,355
1980R
−19.9%
6,2969,62816,778
1976R
−11.6%
7,4569,43717,130
1972R
−39.2%
5,02411,63116,876
1968R
−18.4%
6,83910,21418,347
1964D
+12.9%
10,8518,37319,261
1960R
−27.8%
7,81113,84521,694
1956R
−32.6%
6,62713,05119,697
1952R
−29.9%
6,36511,83318,314
1948R
−24.6%
5,6329,39515,295
1944R
−25.9%
6,42510,97017,547
1940R
−17.0%
8,55912,08120,687
1936R
−3.7%
11,08011,94323,306
1932R
−10.7%
6,5708,24615,713
1928R
−50.2%
4,32513,23317,731
1924R
−48.7%
2,66410,67316,450
1920R
−41.1%
3,0607,97011,950
1916R
−12.9%
3,2534,3328,373
1912D
+10.5%
2,5101,6088,622
1908R
−28.4%
2,9865,6529,393
1904R
−44.4%
2,0955,8608,482
1900R
−30.3%
3,0635,9509,538
1896R
−19.0%
3,6715,5009,619
1892R
−10.4%
3,2514,1008,133
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Italian
1.3%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
14.2%
Methodist
13.2%
Other Christian
12.7%
Mainline Protestant
5.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Baptist
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

A rural, heavily forested county in the Allegheny Plateau, Jefferson delivered a 58.5-point Republican presidential margin in 2024—among the widest gaps in a state defined by its competitive, closely divided major metros.

The Democratic margin in Jefferson County peaked at thirteen points in 1964. By 1968 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty-eight points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Jefferson County's median household income of $58,686 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wayne County and Edwards County.