akashic
1876–2024
Lawrence County, Pennsylvania
Lawrence County·Pennsylvania

Lawrence County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Once a union stronghold, now among Pennsylvania's most lopsided counties

18762024·38 elections
Lawrence County, Pennsylvania · Christopher A. Papa, Esquire · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+34
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
85,024
2024 ACS
Most similar
Brooke County
WV · similarity 0.99
75 precincts · 47,255 votes cast
Trump · R+34
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−33.7%
15,44031,34747,255
2020R
−29.6%
15,97829,59746,076
2016R
−27.8%
14,00925,42841,076
2012R
−9.0%
17,51321,04739,189
2008R
−5.1%
19,71121,85142,103
2004R
−1.3%
21,38721,93843,442
2000D
+6.4%
20,59318,06039,640
1996D
+16.3%
18,99313,08836,259
1992D
+20.6%
20,83012,35941,203
1988D
+16.0%
21,88415,82937,904
1984D
+10.8%
23,98119,27743,386
1980D
+2.7%
19,50618,40440,213
1976D
+11.2%
23,33718,54642,640
1972R
−14.5%
17,59523,71242,297
1968D
+6.2%
21,02718,36043,103
1964D
+29.0%
29,09215,99845,207
1960D
+1.4%
24,30923,64648,064
1956R
−11.4%
19,92325,03745,025
1952R
−4.8%
21,16423,31944,738
1948R
−7.8%
14,63217,18632,599
1944R
−4.2%
17,33118,88636,620
1940R
−1.4%
18,81419,36138,405
1936D
+17.2%
21,99415,45838,090
1932R
−15.5%
9,39013,06423,709
1928R
−50.9%
6,41720,01226,702
1924R
−54.9%
1,88012,53319,406
1920R
−45.8%
2,7209,44814,676
1916R
−11.2%
3,9665,13410,385
1912R
−1.5%
1,9762,1289,845
1908R
−27.2%
2,6565,3509,896
1904R
−49.9%
1,8947,63411,506
1900R
−34.7%
2,7546,34310,332
1896R
−33.6%
3,0136,2289,562
1892R
−28.1%
2,3364,3857,296
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
English
0.5%
Italian
0.5%
African American
3.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
34.8%
Other Christian
10.2%
Mainline Protestant
5.9%
Methodist
2.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.6%
Baptist
0.8%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Lawrence County's deindustrialized Rust Belt towns have shifted sharply rightward over two decades; its 2024 presidential margin of R+33.8 places it well outside Pennsylvania's statewide competitive range.

The Democratic margin in Lawrence County peaked at twenty-nine points in 1964. By 2004 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Lawrence County's median household income of $61,931 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Brooke County and Franklin County.