| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 2,917 | 13,754 | 16,778 | |
| 2020 | R | 3,046 | 12,719 | 15,941 | |
| 2016 | R | 2,510 | 10,707 | 13,538 | |
| 2012 | R | 2,777 | 9,836 | 12,753 | |
| 2008 | R | 3,530 | 9,299 | 12,919 | |
| 2004 | R | 3,443 | 8,582 | 12,062 | |
| 2000 | R | 3,692 | 7,076 | 10,910 | |
| 1996 | D | 4,522 | 4,341 | 9,929 | |
| 1992 | D | 4,085 | 3,398 | 10,643 | |
| 1988 | R | 4,984 | 5,133 | 10,142 | |
| 1984 | R | 3,707 | 5,772 | 9,493 | |
| 1980 | D | 4,344 | 3,834 | 8,318 | |
| 1976 | D | 4,992 | 2,556 | 7,592 | |
| 1972 | R | 1,710 | 3,903 | 5,640 | |
| 1968 | D | 2,700 | 1,860 | 6,492 | |
| 1964 | D | 4,133 | 1,518 | 5,651 | |
| 1960 | D | 3,228 | 2,117 | 5,357 | |
| 1956 | D | 3,118 | 2,206 | 5,347 | |
| 1952 | D | 3,750 | 2,460 | 6,218 | |
| 1948 | D | 3,885 | 479 | 4,667 | |
| 1944 | D | 3,981 | 533 | 4,876 | |
| 1940 | D | 4,955 | 551 | 5,511 | |
| 1936 | D | 2,753 | 261 | 3,018 | |
| 1932 | D | 4,891 | 261 | 5,159 | |
| 1928 | D | 1,845 | 1,767 | 3,617 | |
| 1924 | D | 4,156 | 557 | 4,834 | |
| 1920 | D | 2,548 | 837 | 3,694 | |
| 1916 | D | 2,568 | 218 | 3,031 | |
| 1912 | D | 1,999 | 146 | 2,534 | |
| 1908 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1904 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1900 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1896 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1892 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
Hopkins County, anchored by Sulphur Springs in the Piney Woods transitional zone, has shifted steadily rightward over two decades, posting a 64-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 against a modest population base of roughly 32,000.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Hopkins County peaked at ninety points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2000 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of thirty-one points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.
The economic and demographic context is severe. Hopkins County's median household income of $70,888 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Panola County and Henderson County.