Caroline County, Virginia

2024 results by precinct

13 precincts · 17,698 votes cast

Trump · R+9

Harris +50

Trump +50

Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.

38 presidential elections

Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−8.8%	7,957	9,511	17,698
2020	R	−4.2%	7,657	8,336	16,288
2016	R	−5.0%	6,432	7,147	14,248
2012	D	+8.2%	7,276	6,151	13,652
2008	D	+12.0%	7,163	5,617	12,919
2004	R	−1.2%	4,878	4,999	9,954
2000	D	+5.3%	4,314	3,873	8,351
1996	D	+14.8%	3,897	2,816	7,285
1992	D	+10.6%	3,770	2,947	7,753
1988	D	+1.9%	3,186	3,065	6,292
1984	D	+2.6%	3,111	2,949	6,138
1980	D	+16.6%	2,924	2,071	5,154
1976	D	+29.5%	3,064	1,648	4,796
1972	R	−6.9%	1,814	2,086	3,951
1968	D	+22.7%	2,165	1,162	4,426
1964	D	+27.7%	2,064	1,166	3,243
1960	D	+26.2%	1,483	864	2,367
1956	R	−2.7%	853	907	1,969
1952	D	+5.3%	954	858	1,825
1948	D	+25.5%	731	397	1,312
1944	D	+44.6%	1,004	383	1,391
1940	D	+57.4%	1,136	305	1,447
1936	D	+61.9%	1,104	258	1,367
1932	D	+59.1%	1,076	270	1,364
1928	D	+0.1%	639	638	1,277
1924	D	+57.0%	840	223	1,083
1920	D	+36.3%	665	308	984
1916	D	+52.3%	637	198	840
1912	D	+51.5%	590	144	866
1908	D	+20.3%	494	326	827
1904	D	+22.3%	501	317	826
1900	R	−3.0%	1,077	1,144	2,235
1896	R	−7.4%	1,293	1,502	2,813
1892	R	−3.8%	1,235	1,343	2,823
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

American

100.0%

Italian

0.6%

African American

19.0%

Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.

American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 38.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.5%

85+

0.9%

2.2%

75–84

2.9%

4.8%

65–74

5.4%

6.7%

55–64

7.2%

6.0%

45–54

5.6%

7.0%

35–44

7.7%

7.3%

25–34

6.7%

3.7%

18–24

2.9%

9.0%

5–17

8.1%

3.1%

2.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$87,407

Caroline County ranks in the top 10% of US counties.

Caroline County$87,407

Virginia$93,170

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

11.2%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1818.0%

Working age (18–64)100.0%

Seniors (65+)18.0%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

0.0%

speak English only

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Baptist

19.1%

Catholic & Orthodox

4.6%

Methodist

4.6%

Other Christian

4.0%

Pentecostal & Holiness

0.7%

Mainline Protestant

0.7%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 66.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Caroline sits between Richmond and Fredericksburg along the I-95 corridor, blending exurban growth with a historically rural population. Its 2024 presidential margin of R+8.8 reflects a pattern of gradual realignment visible across Virginia's outer-ring counties.

The Democratic margin in Caroline County has rarely exceeded sixty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded nine points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by nine points.

Caroline County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 62% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $87,407 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mason County and Knox County.

Most similar counties

Caroline County votes the way the country votes.