akashic
1876–2024
St. Francis County, Arkansas
St. Francis County·Arkansas

St. Francis County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

One of Arkansas's few counties decided by under a point in 2024

18762024·38 elections
St. Francis County, Arkansas · Ardelta · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
22,400
2024 ACS
Most similar
Chicot County
AR · similarity 0.99
15 precincts · 5,979 votes cast
Harris · D+1
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+0.7%
2,9532,9095,979
2020D
+5.1%
3,6043,2427,108
2016D
+11.5%
4,0313,1957,290
2012D
+18.4%
4,9103,3688,362
2008D
+16.5%
5,4863,9179,505
2004D
+19.5%
5,6843,8159,588
2000D
+18.5%
4,9863,4148,496
1996D
+35.2%
5,5622,5238,644
1992D
+30.6%
6,5483,28910,635
1988D
+4.0%
4,6564,2988,980
1984R
−5.0%
4,8665,37810,322
1980D
+12.7%
5,8164,48510,487
1976D
+30.5%
6,8513,63910,520
1972R
−35.0%
2,6745,6928,631
1968D
+18.3%
3,2841,6089,146
1964D
+3.9%
3,6513,3777,038
1960D
+14.3%
2,4321,7864,518
1956D
+5.5%
2,1141,8844,199
1952D
+15.8%
2,4661,7924,259
1948D
+38.7%
1,0111782,155
1944D
+57.3%
1,6544462,108
1940D
+78.1%
1,6711921,894
1936D
+61.0%
1,5203591,903
1932D
+88.4%
1,9901072,129
1928D
+37.9%
1,3766172,002
1924D
+36.7%
9724331,467
1920D
+15.8%
1,2529032,212
1916D
+41.7%
9603951,355
1912D
+26.3%
5632961,014
1908R
−9.2%
6197551,477
1904D
+12.0%
7375771,333
1900R
−5.1%
6347031,356
1896D
+40.8%
1,0874551,550
1892R
−24.1%
6971,1751,981
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.7%
African American
43.6%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
38.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
6.3%
Other Christian
6.1%
Methodist
5.8%
Mainline Protestant
1.3%
Catholic & Orthodox
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

St. Francis County sits in the Arkansas Delta, where a majority-Black population and persistent rural poverty produce one of the state's rare competitive margins — the 2024 presidential race landed within a single percentage point.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached eighty-eight points in 1932; the Republican margin reached thirty-five points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

St. Francis County's demographics — a population of 22,400, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $42,574 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chicot County and Lee County.