akashic
1876–2024
Santa Cruz County, California
Santa Cruz County·California

For forty years, Santa Cruz County voted Republican. Then it stopped.

One of California's most lopsided presidential margins on the coast

18762024·38 elections
Santa Cruz County, California · SnippyHolloW from New York, United States · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+54
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
264,926
2024 ACS
Most similar
Sonoma County
CA · similarity 1.00
153 precincts · 134,981 votes cast
Harris · D+54
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+54.1%
100,99827,978134,981
2020D
+59.9%
114,24626,937145,649
2016D
+56.0%
95,24922,438130,012
2012D
+55.5%
90,80524,047120,385
2008D
+57.5%
98,74525,244127,736
2004D
+48.1%
89,10230,354122,084
2000D
+34.1%
66,61829,627108,350
1996D
+29.6%
58,25027,766103,062
1992D
+36.2%
66,18324,916113,992
1988D
+24.8%
63,13337,728102,611
1984D
+8.1%
49,09141,65292,147
1980R
−5.8%
32,34637,34785,804
1976D
+8.0%
37,77231,87273,969
1972R
−3.5%
32,33634,79969,759
1968R
−9.8%
20,49225,36549,944
1964D
+17.3%
26,71418,83645,644
1960R
−19.7%
16,65924,85841,704
1956R
−27.4%
12,57422,10934,776
1952R
−34.4%
11,08022,91034,361
1948R
−20.7%
9,86215,39526,690
1944R
−8.5%
9,35711,10220,637
1940R
−3.4%
10,68311,45322,486
1936D
+6.0%
9,3268,26017,908
1932D
+14.9%
8,2466,00514,990
1928R
−38.0%
3,6888,27512,075
1924R
−51.8%
8015,4028,879
1920R
−41.7%
1,9575,2857,974
1916D
+3.0%
4,5114,2289,446
1912D
+40.2%
2,87507,152
1908R
−23.6%
1,6432,8865,275
1904R
−35.1%
1,1052,6264,329
1900R
−13.2%
1,6352,1734,085
1896R
−0.2%
1,9601,9694,082
1892R
−8.0%
1,5121,8434,112
1888R
−6.2%
1,7501,9963,940
1884R
−9.7%
1,3651,6673,105
1880R
−5.5%
1,1021,2362,451
1876R
−15.2%
1,1321,5372,669
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
26.3%
Other Christian
7.2%
Non-Christian
3.7%
Mainline Protestant
1.0%
Baptist
0.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.5%
Methodist
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Santa Cruz County consistently posts some of the widest Democratic presidential margins in the state, driven by a dense concentration of university affiliates, tech workers, and long-established progressive communities along Monterey Bay.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Santa Cruz County peaked at sixty points in 2020; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1984 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of eight points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. Santa Cruz County's median household income of $111,093 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sonoma County and Multnomah County.