akashic
1876–2024
Mesa County, Colorado
Mesa County·Colorado

Mesa County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Western Slope anchor with a durable Republican lean

18762024·38 elections
Mesa County, Colorado · Wusel007 · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+24
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
158,601
2024 ACS
Most similar
Montrose County
CO · similarity 1.00
67 precincts · 91,620 votes cast
Trump · R+24
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−24.3%
33,57355,83991,620
2020R
−28.0%
31,53356,88890,613
2016R
−36.1%
21,72949,77977,654
2012R
−32.4%
23,84647,47272,947
2008R
−29.5%
24,00844,57869,631
2004R
−35.5%
19,56441,53961,885
2000R
−33.2%
15,46532,39651,054
1996R
−16.4%
17,11424,76146,612
1992R
−6.8%
15,16218,16944,067
1988R
−20.9%
14,37222,15037,155
1984R
−40.5%
9,93823,73634,074
1980R
−46.0%
7,54922,68632,916
1976R
−33.3%
8,80717,92427,390
1972R
−40.5%
6,35815,52722,613
1968R
−9.1%
8,77510,74521,671
1964D
+20.9%
12,7168,31721,082
1960R
−17.8%
9,07213,01522,132
1956R
−25.9%
7,56712,86920,496
1952R
−26.5%
6,88311,88318,845
1948D
+12.0%
8,4016,58615,185
1944D
+1.6%
6,8706,65313,598
1940D
+4.3%
7,6947,04914,912
1936D
+33.6%
7,8243,65412,399
1932D
+19.4%
6,6824,38811,807
1928R
−32.9%
3,2236,4469,802
1924R
−18.7%
2,3884,0538,902
1920R
−6.6%
3,1383,6217,271
1916D
+29.4%
4,3942,2237,395
1912D
+22.5%
2,7339767,824
1908R
−3.3%
2,8243,0496,795
1904R
−25.8%
1,5552,7834,761
1900D
+18.4%
1,9681,3173,534
1896D
+64.2%
2,3744692,966
1892R
−42.8%
05291,237
1888R
−5.8%
388440889
1884R
−3.5%
329353687
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
21.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
8.9%
Mainline Protestant
2.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.2%
Baptist
1.3%
Methodist
0.7%
Non-Christian
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Mesa County, centered on Grand Junction, has voted Republican in every presidential race for decades, with its energy-sector economy and rural geography reinforcing margins that routinely exceed 20 points.

The Democratic margin in Mesa County peaked at sixty-four points in 1896. By 1968 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Mesa County's median household income of $73,658 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Montrose County and Delta County.