akashic
1876–2024
Hillsborough County, Florida
Hillsborough County·Florida

Hillsborough County votes the way the country votes.

Tampa's home county flipped red by 3 points in 2024

18762024·38 elections
Hillsborough County, Florida · Clément Bardot · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+3
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
1,522,748
2024 ACS
Most similar
San Bernardino County
CA · similarity 0.95
448 precincts · 671,827 votes cast
Trump · R+3
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−3.1%
321,348341,963671,827
2020D
+6.9%
376,367327,398712,063
2016D
+6.9%
307,896266,870597,660
2012D
+6.7%
286,467250,186542,102
2008D
+7.1%
272,963236,355513,312
2004R
−6.8%
214,132245,576463,222
2000R
−3.1%
169,576180,794360,354
1996D
+2.5%
144,266136,656308,271
1992R
−4.9%
115,282130,643310,502
1988R
−20.4%
99,014150,151250,716
1984R
−29.4%
86,230157,926244,208
1980R
−8.7%
88,271106,160205,314
1976D
+9.2%
94,58978,504175,145
1972R
−40.4%
45,305106,956152,510
1968R
−2.5%
45,84849,441142,202
1964D
+17.0%
71,28950,616121,905
1960D
+12.0%
62,24048,887111,127
1956R
−4.1%
38,61041,88980,499
1952R
−4.4%
33,25236,31669,568
1948D
+12.9%
18,85413,52941,286
1944D
+50.5%
31,14610,25241,398
1940D
+59.5%
30,7387,80538,543
1936D
+58.1%
20,2025,36125,563
1932D
+60.5%
19,1434,71123,854
1928R
−7.7%
9,99311,70322,088
1924D
+40.2%
4,4701,5857,180
1920D
+25.9%
6,9763,77212,349
1916D
+59.5%
4,6276916,615
1912D
+63.6%
2,6411593,905
1908D
+63.2%
2,7033673,694
1904D
+46.3%
1,9765163,151
1900D
+58.8%
2,2573493,245
1896D
+52.8%
2,1155842,899
1892D
+95.6%
2,71802,843
1888
No data
1884D
+56.1%
1,2573531,610
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.5%
African American
12.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
26.7%
Other Christian
14.3%
Baptist
9.6%
Methodist
3.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.5%
Non-Christian
2.1%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 39.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Hillsborough County, anchored by Tampa, had trended Democratic for a decade before returning an R+3.1 margin in 2024—a shift driven in part by movement among Hispanic voters in the county's growing suburban and urban precincts.

The Democratic margin in Hillsborough County has rarely exceeded ninety-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by three points.

Hillsborough County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 51% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $79,540 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of San Bernardino County and Will County.