akashic
1876–2024
San Bernardino County, California
San Bernardino County·California

San Bernardino County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

Once reliably blue, California's largest county flipped to R+2.1 in 2024

18762024·38 elections
San Bernardino County, California · Tony Hoffarth · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+2
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
2,197,104
2024 ACS
Most similar
Hillsborough County
FL · similarity 0.95
1,509 precincts · 761,714 votes cast
Trump · R+2
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−2.1%
362,114378,416761,714
2020D
+10.7%
455,859366,257841,130
2016D
+10.6%
340,833271,240653,983
2012D
+7.3%
305,109262,358582,930
2008D
+6.3%
315,720277,408606,334
2004R
−11.8%
227,789289,306523,276
2000R
−1.5%
214,749221,757454,893
1996D
+0.8%
183,372180,135413,355
1992D
+1.5%
183,634176,563474,070
1988R
−21.4%
151,118235,167392,008
1984R
−30.8%
116,454222,071342,705
1980R
−28.0%
91,790172,957289,812
1976R
−1.6%
109,636113,265228,885
1972R
−24.2%
85,986144,689242,256
1968R
−10.1%
89,418111,974223,616
1964D
+14.3%
123,01292,145215,400
1960R
−4.5%
90,88899,481191,313
1956R
−14.1%
64,94686,263151,652
1952R
−14.9%
54,61573,921129,631
1948R
−0.9%
45,69146,57095,838
1944D
+6.1%
38,53034,08473,260
1940D
+10.2%
37,52030,51168,878
1936D
+20.6%
33,95522,21957,016
1932D
+5.6%
24,88922,09449,548
1928R
−50.6%
9,43629,22939,112
1924R
−47.5%
2,63415,97428,061
1920R
−34.6%
5,62012,51819,921
1916R
−10.8%
9,39811,93223,545
1912D
+38.0%
5,835015,343
1908R
−22.9%
2,6854,7298,940
1904R
−34.6%
1,5733,8846,670
1900R
−13.1%
2,3473,1356,011
1896R
−1.3%
2,7402,8185,805
1892R
−15.1%
2,5463,6867,567
1888R
−11.7%
2,3883,0595,718
1884R
−11.1%
1,2881,6172,974
1880R
−1.3%
7117301,487
1876R
−5.2%
6076741,300
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
6.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
23.2%
Other Christian
11.2%
Baptist
3.1%
Non-Christian
2.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Mainline Protestant
0.7%
Methodist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 57.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

San Bernardino County spans 20,000 square miles from Inland Empire suburbs to Mojave Desert communities, a geographic breadth that mirrors its political diversity and has pushed its presidential margins rightward by roughly 20 points over the past decade.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached thirty-eight points in 1912; the Republican margin reached fifty-one points in 1928. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

San Bernardino County's demographics — a population of 2,197,104, a 33% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $85,478 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hillsborough County and Riverside County.