akashic
1876–2024
Suffolk County, New York
Suffolk County·New York

Suffolk County votes the way the country votes.

Long Island's largest county drifted sharply right across three election cycles

18762024·38 elections
Suffolk County, New York · Ronald Diel · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+10
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
1,530,146
2024 ACS
Most similar
Pinellas County
FL · similarity 0.93
1,068 precincts · 762,849 votes cast
Trump · R+10
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−9.9%
341,812417,549762,849
2020R
−0.0%
381,021381,253771,751
2016R
−6.8%
303,951350,570681,254
2012D
+3.7%
304,079282,131594,266
2008D
+6.0%
346,549307,021659,779
2004D
+0.9%
315,909309,949638,712
2000D
+11.4%
306,306240,992573,944
1996D
+15.7%
261,828182,510505,213
1992R
−1.5%
220,811229,467567,955
1988R
−21.8%
199,215311,242514,350
1984R
−32.3%
171,295335,485508,056
1980R
−23.7%
149,945256,294449,655
1976R
−8.8%
208,263248,908460,048
1972R
−40.9%
132,441316,452449,898
1968R
−25.5%
122,590218,027374,767
1964D
+11.1%
180,598144,350325,333
1960R
−18.7%
114,033166,644280,945
1956R
−55.3%
48,323167,805216,128
1952R
−49.3%
39,120115,570155,050
1948R
−42.9%
29,10475,519108,265
1944R
−35.4%
31,23165,65097,134
1940R
−30.5%
33,85363,71297,835
1936R
−18.8%
33,07848,97084,335
1932R
−13.0%
30,79940,24772,528
1928R
−34.3%
19,49741,19963,315
1924R
−47.1%
10,02431,45645,455
1920R
−48.9%
8,85226,73736,574
1916R
−20.1%
8,42212,74221,522
1912D
+11.6%
7,8785,59519,655
1908R
−27.1%
5,87710,68917,730
1904R
−18.1%
6,7959,93717,374
1900R
−24.3%
5,7119,58415,910
1896R
−39.1%
3,8729,38814,097
1892R
−5.1%
6,2747,00114,203
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
6.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
55.3%
Non-Christian
3.3%
Other Christian
2.9%
Mainline Protestant
2.8%
Methodist
1.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.1%
Baptist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 33.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Once reliably competitive, Suffolk has moved toward Republican margins not seen since the early 2000s, driven partly by cost-of-living concerns among its large blue-collar and suburban homeowner population.

The Democratic margin in Suffolk County has rarely exceeded sixteen points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-five points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by ten points.

Suffolk County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 66% non-Hispanic-white share, a 6% poverty rate, and a median household income of $130,686 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pinellas County and St. Lucie County.