akashic
1876–2024
Marshall County, Iowa
Marshall County·Iowa

Marshall County votes the way the country votes.

A onetime swing county that has shifted steadily toward Republican margins

18762024·38 elections
Marshall County, Iowa · Daniel Hartwig · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+16
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
40,114
2024 ACS
Most similar
Poweshiek County
IA · similarity 0.98
11 precincts · 17,270 votes cast
Trump · R+16
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−15.5%
7,1349,81517,270
2020R
−7.7%
8,1769,57118,136
2016R
−8.2%
7,6529,14618,175
2012D
+9.4%
10,2578,47219,064
2008D
+9.4%
10,0238,27818,657
2004R
−0.6%
9,4439,55719,164
2000R
−2.6%
8,3228,78517,624
1996D
+9.5%
8,6697,01717,324
1992D
+8.3%
8,3036,78418,289
1988D
+12.0%
9,7607,65717,549
1984R
−10.2%
8,80910,83919,840
1980R
−18.3%
7,11410,70719,626
1976R
−4.7%
8,6959,56218,630
1972R
−23.6%
6,61810,79817,744
1968R
−18.2%
6,3629,40216,686
1964D
+21.6%
9,8156,32316,176
1960R
−20.6%
6,76110,26517,042
1956R
−27.7%
5,75510,30516,425
1952R
−34.5%
5,31411,13516,890
1948R
−8.5%
5,6026,69812,833
1944R
−13.1%
5,5987,32513,157
1940R
−13.3%
6,4978,50315,065
1936R
−7.7%
6,2977,37714,008
1932R
−1.6%
6,3856,60413,483
1928R
−46.5%
3,3849,32612,792
1924R
−56.6%
1,5169,01013,233
1920R
−60.7%
2,1669,33411,800
1916R
−25.4%
2,4144,1726,916
1912D
+18.4%
2,1629266,717
1908R
−30.7%
1,9413,8876,337
1904R
−47.8%
1,2034,2296,337
1900R
−34.0%
2,3294,8787,496
1896R
−26.1%
2,6264,5417,342
1892R
−18.6%
2,3123,4416,080
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
1.7%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
23.1%
Other Christian
12.0%
Mainline Protestant
11.2%
Methodist
5.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.1%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Baptist
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 46.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Marshall County's population centers on Marshalltown, a meatpacking hub with one of Iowa's largest Latino immigrant communities, yet the county has moved roughly 20 points toward Republicans over the past two presidential cycles.

The Democratic margin in Marshall County has rarely exceeded twenty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty-one points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by sixteen points.

Marshall County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 71% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $73,315 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Poweshiek County and Conejos County.