akashic
1876–2024
Frederick County, Maryland
Frederick County·Maryland

Frederick County votes the way the country votes.

A fast-growing exurban county that has shifted markedly toward Democrats over a decade

18762024·38 elections
Frederick County, Maryland · Rollbama4 · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+9
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
287,048
2024 ACS
Most similar
Kent County
MI · similarity 0.99
66 precincts · 156,114 votes cast
Harris · D+9
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+8.7%
82,40968,753156,114
2020D
+9.6%
77,67563,682145,615
2016R
−2.4%
56,52259,522123,222
2012R
−3.1%
55,14658,798117,115
2008R
−1.0%
54,01355,170111,186
2004R
−20.3%
39,50359,934100,594
2000R
−18.6%
30,72545,35078,661
1996R
−14.4%
25,08134,49465,303
1992R
−14.6%
21,84831,29064,691
1988R
−31.1%
17,06132,57549,867
1984R
−37.6%
13,41129,60643,113
1980R
−21.5%
13,62922,03339,130
1976R
−10.5%
14,54217,94132,483
1972R
−40.7%
8,23519,90728,651
1968R
−20.3%
8,31613,64926,313
1964D
+22.2%
14,5489,26423,812
1960R
−15.0%
9,91013,40823,319
1956R
−30.8%
7,61914,38722,006
1952R
−29.9%
7,85114,56222,451
1948R
−16.2%
7,1429,93417,197
1944R
−14.3%
8,52811,36719,895
1940D
+3.5%
11,25510,48521,833
1936D
+6.0%
10,7229,50020,286
1932D
+19.7%
10,6867,14418,024
1928R
−25.7%
7,40612,56920,089
1924R
−4.1%
7,7408,44117,106
1920R
−10.3%
7,7479,55917,518
1916D
+3.1%
6,0945,72512,026
1912D
+74.9%
11,3162,81311,360
1908D
+100.0%
10,9565,158192
1904D
+100.0%
12,4575,788164
1900R
−100.0%
5,8206,39130
1896R
−9.5%
5,2146,35211,940
1892D
+1.2%
5,6435,50211,434
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.6%
African American
8.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
13.3%
Other Christian
6.1%
Mainline Protestant
5.9%
Methodist
5.5%
Non-Christian
2.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Baptist
1.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 63.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Frederick's population has grown roughly 20% since 2010, driven by spillover from the D.C. metro corridor, and that demographic churn has steadily eroded the Republican margins that once made it reliably red in statewide contests.

The Democratic margin in Frederick County has rarely exceeded 100 points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded 100 points. 2024 delivered the county to the Democratic candidate by nine points.

Frederick County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 68% non-Hispanic-white share, a 6% poverty rate, and a median household income of $122,002 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kent County and Gwinnett County.