akashic
1876–2024
Carlton County, Minnesota
Carlton County·Minnesota

Carlton County has voted Democratic for as long as anyone can remember.

A union-timber county that's drifted right over a decade of elections

18762024·38 elections
Carlton County, Minnesota · Elkman · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+3
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
36,518
2024 ACS
Most similar
Mahoning County
OH · similarity 0.99
38 precincts · 20,815 votes cast
Trump · R+3
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−2.5%
9,90510,43520,815
2020D
+1.5%
10,0989,79120,369
2016D
+1.6%
8,4608,16018,211
2012D
+26.1%
11,3896,58618,436
2008D
+26.8%
11,5016,54918,449
2004D
+26.3%
11,4626,64218,334
2000D
+20.2%
8,6205,57815,081
1996D
+28.9%
8,0524,03413,915
1992D
+25.9%
7,7363,92214,747
1988D
+30.7%
8,7904,62613,560
1984D
+30.4%
9,1894,87714,203
1980D
+27.4%
8,8224,76014,833
1976D
+34.9%
9,2474,37113,952
1972D
+13.1%
7,1165,44512,730
1968D
+45.9%
8,5383,01612,018
1964D
+54.8%
9,5522,78012,359
1960D
+24.2%
7,5764,61312,224
1956D
+21.7%
6,4844,16810,677
1952D
+21.1%
6,4324,17510,698
1948D
+41.6%
6,9672,74210,157
1944D
+39.5%
6,1532,6538,856
1940D
+35.2%
7,1593,40010,670
1936D
+52.5%
7,1362,1639,478
1932D
+3.2%
3,5863,3367,838
1928R
−34.1%
2,1384,5827,158
1924R
−45.0%
3033,1426,314
1920R
−35.3%
1,1522,8334,764
1916D
+0.7%
1,1151,0962,728
1912D
+13.5%
6312832,587
1908R
−41.1%
5061,4872,384
1904R
−64.7%
2361,4801,924
1900R
−40.1%
4671,1191,627
1896R
−36.0%
5431,1691,741
1892D
+29.1%
7373701,260
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
1.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
15.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
10.4%
Other Christian
8.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.1%
Methodist
1.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Carlton County's economy was long anchored by paper mills and the Fond du Lac Band of Lake Superior Chippewa, producing reliably Democratic margins. By 2024 it flipped narrowly Republican, a shift that mirrors working-class realignment across Minnesota's Iron Range corridor.

The Democratic margin in Carlton County reached its widest at fifty-five points in 1964. The margin in 2024 was three points — a notable narrowing.

Carlton County's loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $80,573, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 36,518 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mahoning County and Douglas County.