| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 3,182 | 5,143 | 8,380 | |
| 2020 | R | 3,897 | 5,228 | 9,200 | |
| 2016 | R | 3,584 | 4,782 | 8,449 | |
| 2012 | R | 4,079 | 4,863 | 8,983 | |
| 2008 | R | 4,151 | 5,148 | 9,359 | |
| 2004 | R | 3,212 | 4,962 | 8,214 | |
| 2000 | R | 2,793 | 4,114 | 6,952 | |
| 1996 | R | 2,902 | 3,017 | 6,338 | |
| 1992 | R | 3,333 | 3,943 | 7,786 | |
| 1988 | R | 2,787 | 4,168 | 6,963 | |
| 1984 | R | 2,845 | 4,663 | 7,516 | |
| 1980 | D | 4,033 | 3,624 | 7,738 | |
| 1976 | D | 3,415 | 2,952 | 6,508 | |
| 1972 | R | 1,053 | 4,217 | 5,329 | |
| 1968 | D | 1,295 | 453 | 6,316 | |
| 1964 | R | 170 | 4,343 | 4,513 | |
| 1960 | D | 953 | 286 | 3,250 | |
| 1956 | D | 2,475 | 220 | 2,999 | |
| 1952 | D | 2,667 | 603 | 3,270 | |
| 1948 | D | 180 | 12 | 2,584 | |
| 1944 | D | 2,800 | 24 | 2,824 | |
| 1940 | D | 2,802 | 17 | 2,823 | |
| 1936 | D | 2,566 | 8 | 2,584 | |
| 1932 | D | 1,903 | 14 | 1,926 | |
| 1928 | D | 1,695 | 212 | 1,907 | |
| 1924 | D | 1,255 | 48 | 1,303 | |
| 1920 | D | 1,082 | 121 | 1,228 | |
| 1916 | D | 1,434 | 31 | 1,493 | |
| 1912 | D | 910 | 11 | 1,047 | |
| 1908 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1904 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1900 | D | 990 | 26 | 1,036 | |
| 1896 | D | 1,164 | 91 | 1,266 | |
| 1892 | D | 708 | 15 | 1,089 | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
Leake County's population of roughly 21,000 is split between small agricultural towns and forested countryside, producing consistent double-digit Republican presidential margins while its Black resident share—near 40%—shapes competitive local races.
The shift began with civil rights. 1984 marked the realignment in Leake County, by a twenty-four points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at ninety-two points in 1964. The 2024 margin was twenty-three points.
The political shift has tracked, in Leake County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 46% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $50,728, and a 21% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Winston County and Monroe County.