akashic
1876–2024
Haywood County, Tennessee
Haywood County·Tennessee

Haywood County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

A rural Delta-edge county decided by fewer than 100 votes in 2024

18762024·38 elections
Haywood County, Tennessee · Thomas R Machnitzki (thomas@machnitzki.com) · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
Tied
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
17,475
2024 ACS
Most similar
Lake County
IN · similarity 0.99
11 precincts · 6,652 votes cast
Harris · D+0
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+0.4%
3,3113,2866,652
2020D
+9.0%
4,0123,3437,439
2016D
+10.2%
3,7113,0136,834
2012D
+21.3%
4,5692,9607,569
2008D
+21.3%
4,8933,1658,121
2004D
+16.1%
4,3593,1407,548
2000D
+20.6%
3,8872,5546,478
1996D
+21.1%
3,5652,2936,030
1992D
+15.6%
3,5112,5186,376
1988D
+4.2%
2,9232,6875,640
1984D
+7.6%
3,3082,8396,166
1980D
+17.0%
3,4452,4355,943
1976D
+30.5%
3,6811,9525,661
1972R
−22.0%
1,9663,1235,253
1968D
+9.9%
1,7091,1525,618
1964R
−2.5%
2,2902,4074,697
1960D
+20.4%
1,8671,1883,334
1956D
+56.2%
2,2175163,028
1952D
+44.1%
2,4329403,381
1948D
+42.4%
1,0501482,129
1944D
+84.7%
2,5252082,734
1940D
+92.8%
3,4661283,598
1936D
+96.6%
1,725291,756
1932D
+90.9%
1,788771,882
1928D
+83.8%
2,0241782,202
1924D
+93.1%
1,872601,947
1920D
+90.4%
2,0681012,176
1916D
+92.4%
1,677611,749
1912D
+84.9%
1,069341,219
1908D
+71.7%
1,2151891,431
1904D
+90.7%
1,341641,408
1900D
+73.2%
1,4522141,691
1896D
+58.2%
2,3926243,036
1892D
+39.6%
1,6766622,558
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
1.0%
African American
39.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
25.7%
Methodist
16.9%
Other Christian
15.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.2%
Mainline Protestant
0.6%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 35.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Haywood County sits at Tennessee's western margin where Mississippi Delta demographics meet Appalachian-state politics, producing one of the state's rare competitive counties. Its majority-Black population anchors Democratic strength that has kept presidential margins razor-thin for two consecutive cycles.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached ninety-seven points in 1936; the Republican margin reached twenty-two points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Haywood County's demographics — a population of 17,475, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $50,472 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lake County and Hampton County.