akashic
1876–2024
Seneca County, New York
Seneca County·New York

Seneca County votes the way the country votes.

Finger Lakes county where rural townships drive a consistent Republican lean

18762024·38 elections
Seneca County, New York · marjobani · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+12
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
32,920
2024 ACS
Most similar
Cayuga County
NY · similarity 0.94
27 precincts · 15,105 votes cast
Trump · R+12
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−11.7%
6,6108,37915,105
2020R
−9.1%
6,9148,32915,608
2016R
−11.0%
5,6977,23613,980
2012D
+9.1%
7,0945,88913,266
2008D
+2.6%
7,4227,03814,741
2004R
−6.5%
6,9797,98115,325
2000D
+0.7%
6,8416,73414,338
1996D
+13.0%
6,8255,00413,955
1992D
+2.5%
5,8105,43214,974
1988R
−7.4%
6,2157,22113,571
1984R
−32.1%
4,8259,42014,307
1980R
−15.8%
5,0107,17413,690
1976R
−14.2%
5,7457,65913,508
1972R
−35.6%
4,4419,36813,842
1968R
−14.3%
5,2227,08313,005
1964D
+33.0%
8,8904,47313,376
1960R
−21.1%
5,6938,74114,435
1956R
−48.4%
3,62310,41714,040
1952R
−38.1%
4,3289,66914,020
1948R
−18.9%
4,8977,26612,516
1944R
−27.3%
4,2367,42411,688
1940R
−33.0%
4,2038,36412,598
1936R
−29.1%
4,2957,91912,454
1932R
−15.1%
4,7646,50211,486
1928R
−33.8%
3,8737,91111,938
1924R
−49.0%
7,10322,58331,584
1920R
−33.4%
3,0236,2609,696
1916R
−7.1%
2,8453,3076,505
1912D
+3.8%
2,5732,3366,211
1908R
−8.6%
3,1363,7497,101
1904R
−7.4%
3,2883,8237,278
1900R
−4.4%
3,4613,7877,399
1896R
−8.9%
3,2133,8537,198
1892D
+1.3%
3,1993,1126,707
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Italian
0.8%
African American
3.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
15.9%
Other Christian
10.8%
Mainline Protestant
6.4%
Methodist
3.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 63.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Seneca County sits between Cayuga and Seneca lakes, with a small population split between agricultural townships and the village of Waterloo. It backed the Republican presidential nominee by nearly 12 points in 2024, continuing a rightward shift from its closer margins a decade ago.

The Democratic margin in Seneca County has rarely exceeded thirty-three points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-nine points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by twelve points.

Seneca County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 88% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $68,089 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cayuga County and Sullivan County.