akashic
1876–2024
Sullivan County, New York
Sullivan County·New York

Sullivan County votes the way the country votes.

Catskill resort county that has swung hard toward Republicans over two decades

18762024·38 elections
Sullivan County, New York · Eric Richards · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+17
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
79,721
2024 ACS
Most similar
Westmoreland County
VA · similarity 0.96
90 precincts · 35,062 votes cast
Trump · R+17
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−16.6%
14,54920,38635,062
2020R
−9.2%
15,48918,66534,647
2016R
−11.2%
12,56815,93129,955
2012D
+9.0%
15,26812,70528,415
2008D
+9.5%
16,85013,90031,183
2004R
−0.9%
15,03415,31930,966
2000D
+5.8%
14,34812,70328,528
1996D
+20.3%
15,0529,32128,244
1992D
+7.3%
13,71711,39631,635
1988R
−14.8%
11,63515,71327,568
1984R
−26.4%
10,47518,03728,590
1980R
−20.3%
9,55315,08927,218
1976D
+1.7%
14,18913,70928,096
1972R
−26.7%
9,84717,03526,938
1968R
−3.3%
10,86011,65724,198
1964D
+35.2%
16,7288,00624,775
1960R
−8.9%
11,48613,74425,279
1956R
−27.9%
8,93715,84524,782
1952R
−27.5%
8,42114,92623,626
1948R
−17.0%
7,65411,25321,152
1944R
−12.0%
8,83611,25820,167
1940R
−9.6%
9,78511,87721,738
1936D
+0.8%
9,9089,75719,982
1932D
+7.4%
9,6568,29418,517
1928R
−24.5%
6,20710,33116,861
1924R
−27.0%
4,0577,73413,604
1920R
−35.4%
3,6238,02912,458
1916R
−8.3%
3,6594,3408,181
1912D
+10.2%
3,8643,0398,092
1908R
−7.8%
3,9114,5938,746
1904R
−10.6%
3,5824,4528,189
1900R
−9.4%
3,6254,3938,148
1896R
−19.3%
3,0734,5897,864
1892R
−1.3%
3,5673,6647,589
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.6%
African American
7.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
17.0%
Non-Christian
9.4%
Methodist
2.9%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Other Christian
1.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.8%
Baptist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 66.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Once a Democratic stronghold anchored by Borscht Belt tourism and labor voters, Sullivan County now votes Republican by double digits, reflecting a rural realignment visible across the broader Catskills region.

The Democratic margin in Sullivan County has rarely exceeded thirty-five points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-five points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by seventeen points.

Sullivan County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 70% non-Hispanic-white share, a 16% poverty rate, and a median household income of $72,382 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Westmoreland County and Cayuga County.