akashic
1876–2024
Hays County, Texas
Hays County·Texas

Hays County votes the way the country votes.

A fast-growing exurb where Austin's expansion is reshaping the electorate

18762024·38 elections
Hays County, Texas · Larry D. Moore · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+6
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
268,638
2024 ACS
Most similar
Deschutes County
OR · similarity 0.93
78 precincts · 125,827 votes cast
Harris · D+6
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+5.6%
65,52858,438125,827
2020D
+10.8%
59,52447,680109,395
2016R
−0.8%
33,22433,82672,164
2012R
−10.4%
25,53731,66159,011
2008R
−2.0%
28,43129,63859,052
2004R
−14.5%
20,11027,02147,823
2000R
−25.6%
11,38720,17034,317
1996R
−4.8%
11,58012,86526,840
1992D
+3.1%
10,84210,00827,267
1988R
−2.3%
11,18711,71623,264
1984R
−30.2%
6,66312,46719,187
1980R
−3.8%
6,0136,51713,289
1976D
+10.0%
7,0055,71412,875
1972R
−14.1%
4,0685,4069,519
1968D
+25.1%
3,5461,9936,183
1964D
+49.4%
3,7801,2795,064
1960D
+28.9%
2,9161,6064,529
1956D
+3.7%
2,0171,8733,904
1952R
−1.5%
2,0702,1354,208
1948D
+56.4%
2,2395552,987
1944D
+49.2%
1,6904952,428
1940D
+67.8%
2,3714532,828
1936D
+74.3%
1,9642862,259
1932D
+78.1%
1,8222202,050
1928R
−27.4%
6201,0881,708
1924D
+58.5%
1,6163942,089
1920D
+50.3%
1,0752421,656
1916D
+77.0%
9951231,133
1912D
+82.5%
939601,065
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
3.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
17.1%
Other Christian
12.5%
Baptist
4.7%
Methodist
1.7%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Non-Christian
1.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Hays County has nearly doubled in population since 2010 as Austin's sprawl pushes south, and that demographic churn pushed the 2024 presidential margin to D+5.6 — a notable shift in a county that leaned Republican as recently as 2016.

The Democratic margin in Hays County has rarely exceeded eighty-three points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty points. 2024 delivered the county to the Democratic candidate by six points.

Hays County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 61% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $89,097 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Deschutes County and Haines Borough.