akashic
1876–2024
Frederick County, Virginia
Frederick County·Virginia

Frederick County voted Democratic for a century. The shift began with civil rights.

Shenandoah Valley anchor with a widening Republican lean

18762024·38 elections
Frederick County, Virginia · AgnosticPreachersKid · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+28
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
95,008
2024 ACS
Most similar
Greene County
VA · similarity 1.00
29 precincts · 52,263 votes cast
Trump · R+28
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−28.3%
18,33133,11752,263
2020R
−27.4%
17,20730,55848,703
2016R
−35.0%
11,93226,08340,440
2012R
−27.9%
12,69022,85836,394
2008R
−21.4%
12,96120,14933,612
2004R
−36.9%
8,85319,38628,540
2000R
−33.1%
7,15814,57422,392
1996R
−25.2%
5,97610,60818,412
1992R
−25.7%
4,9429,42517,468
1988R
−45.3%
3,7079,92113,717
1984R
−56.0%
2,6719,54212,267
1980R
−40.3%
2,9487,29310,787
1976R
−20.4%
3,3895,1628,672
1972R
−52.7%
1,6045,3677,139
1968R
−28.0%
1,6123,6967,454
1964D
+5.4%
2,8802,5855,474
1960R
−7.9%
1,7572,0613,835
1956R
−14.2%
1,4051,8823,360
1952R
−15.2%
1,3261,8033,134
1948D
+13.4%
1,2449212,404
1944D
+12.8%
1,2139382,156
1940D
+35.7%
1,6317732,406
1936D
+35.0%
1,3866652,058
1932D
+53.6%
1,5364562,016
1928D
+6.2%
1,1401,0062,146
1924D
+45.4%
1,3144841,827
1920D
+20.7%
1,3378752,236
1916D
+52.4%
1,1943661,581
1912D
+60.0%
9221811,235
1908D
+41.1%
8663541,245
1904D
+45.1%
8583161,202
1900D
+44.1%
1,7486712,444
1896D
+36.8%
1,8488452,728
1892D
+47.6%
2,0357002,803
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Irish
0.5%
African American
3.6%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
10.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
8.9%
Methodist
7.4%
Mainline Protestant
2.9%
Baptist
2.2%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Frederick County sits at Virginia's northwestern gateway, where exurban growth from the D.C. corridor meets longstanding rural conservatism. Its 2024 margin of R+28.4 reflects a pattern of deepening Republican strength that has held across multiple election cycles.

The shift began with civil rights. 1968 marked the realignment in Frederick County, by a twenty-eight points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at fifty-six points in 1984. The 2024 margin was twenty-eight points.

The political shift has tracked, in Frederick County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 80% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $97,606, and a 7% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Greene County and Union County.