akashic
1876–2024
Fredericksburg, Virginia
Fredericksburg city·Virginia

Fredericksburg city has voted Democratic for as long as anyone can remember.

An independent city where college-town demographics drive lopsided presidential margins

18762024·38 elections
Fredericksburg, Virginia · Ken Lund from Las Vegas, Nevada, USA · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+32
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
28,873
2024 ACS
Most similar
Richmond County
GA · similarity 1.00
5 precincts · 13,578 votes cast
Harris · D+32
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+31.5%
8,7604,48013,578
2020D
+34.8%
8,5174,03712,862
2016D
+26.3%
6,7073,74411,257
2012D
+26.9%
7,1314,06011,437
2008D
+28.3%
6,1553,4139,677
2004D
+9.2%
4,0853,3907,542
2000D
+6.4%
3,3602,9356,681
1996D
+10.3%
3,2152,5796,164
1992D
+6.5%
3,2662,8196,879
1988R
−11.7%
2,6833,4016,154
1984R
−17.8%
2,4393,5005,973
1980R
−6.6%
2,1742,5024,968
1976D
+0.4%
2,5502,5275,150
1972R
−21.7%
1,8952,9674,943
1968R
−2.1%
2,0362,1425,068
1964D
+23.2%
1,2577832,041
1960R
−8.2%
1,3261,5662,915
1956R
−26.6%
9341,6722,775
1952R
−22.5%
9701,5362,510
1948D
+0.3%
8168101,931
1944D
+22.0%
1,0926981,793
1940D
+32.9%
1,0375221,565
1936D
+39.3%
9444111,357
1932D
+37.4%
8123661,191
1928R
−8.0%
5946971,291
1924D
+41.4%
558223809
1920D
+31.6%
581299893
1916D
+37.4%
380173554
1912D
+64.1%
41451566
1908D
+6.1%
285252539
1904D
+47.5%
352124480
1900D
+24.8%
587353944
1896D
+15.5%
533388937
1892D
+35.3%
655311975
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
1.1%
African American
15.9%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
58.5%
Other Christian
24.1%
Baptist
23.1%
Mainline Protestant
13.5%
Methodist
11.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.6%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 0.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to the University of Mary Washington, Fredericksburg votes at the bluest end of Virginia's independent cities, with the 2024 presidential margin exceeding 30 points — a gap rooted in its dense concentration of students, educators, and young renters.

The Democratic margin in Fredericksburg city reached its widest at sixty-four points in 1912. The margin in 2024 was thirty-two points — still decisive.

Fredericksburg city's loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $86,071, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 28,873 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Richmond County and Bernalillo County.