akashic
1876–2024
Spotsylvania County, Virginia
Spotsylvania County·Virginia

Spotsylvania County voted Democratic for a century. The shift began with civil rights.

Exurban growth corridor where margin has tightened each cycle

18762024·38 elections
Spotsylvania County, Virginia · Wikipelli · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+9
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
146,603
2024 ACS
Most similar
Fluvanna County
VA · similarity 0.99
29 precincts · 79,514 votes cast
Trump · R+9
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−8.5%
35,74742,53179,514
2020R
−6.8%
34,30739,41175,317
2016R
−16.7%
24,20734,62362,549
2012R
−11.5%
25,16531,84457,974
2008R
−6.9%
24,89728,61054,069
2004R
−26.2%
16,62328,52745,445
2000R
−20.8%
13,45520,73935,021
1996R
−13.1%
10,34213,78626,197
1992R
−15.4%
8,13311,82924,014
1988R
−33.1%
5,48610,97816,593
1984R
−34.1%
4,0128,20712,297
1980R
−13.5%
4,0395,38510,005
1976D
+13.2%
4,2103,2107,560
1972R
−46.6%
2,2806,4098,868
1968R
−0.6%
1,6471,6754,926
1964D
+3.6%
4,1133,8307,952
1960D
+6.9%
1,4821,2882,799
1956R
−10.5%
9931,2442,395
1952D
+0.8%
1,1941,1742,397
1948D
+19.9%
8185171,510
1944D
+19.2%
7445041,251
1940D
+36.4%
7853651,154
1936D
+29.6%
8364531,294
1932D
+38.2%
7843461,147
1928R
−19.7%
4396541,093
1924D
+26.2%
448255736
1920D
+7.2%
440380834
1916D
+23.0%
398249649
1912D
+53.8%
39058617
1908D
+10.0%
346282642
1904D
+16.0%
330237581
1900R
−2.7%
7748171,596
1896R
−1.5%
8779031,788
1892D
+10.7%
8496791,593
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.7%
African American
13.5%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
12.8%
Other Christian
11.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
7.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
5.1%
Non-Christian
1.8%
Methodist
1.2%
Mainline Protestant
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Spotsylvania sits along the Interstate 95 corridor south of Fredericksburg, where rapid population growth driven by D.C.-area transplants has gradually compressed what were once double-digit Republican margins in presidential races.

The shift began with civil rights. 1980 marked the realignment in Spotsylvania County, by a thirteen points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-seven points in 1972. The 2024 margin was nine points.

The political shift has tracked, in Spotsylvania County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 63% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $112,738, and a 7% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fluvanna County and Allen County.