akashic
1876–2024
Desha County, Arkansas
Desha County·Arkansas

Desha County votes the way the country votes.

A Mississippi Delta county where a narrow margin masks a shifting electorate

18762024·38 elections
Desha County, Arkansas · Brandonrush · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+5
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
10,786
2024 ACS
Most similar
Chicot County
AR · similarity 0.97
21 precincts · 3,505 votes cast
Trump · R+5
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−4.8%
1,6381,8053,505
2020D
+2.3%
2,0161,9214,164
2016D
+7.4%
2,2281,9194,191
2012D
+12.4%
2,4431,8964,420
2008D
+12.2%
2,5691,9994,678
2004D
+24.1%
2,8511,7294,647
2000D
+26.1%
2,7761,6034,495
1996D
+49.5%
3,2309784,553
1992D
+45.1%
3,8151,2795,621
1988D
+9.7%
2,8592,3345,435
1984D
+3.8%
2,9182,6965,878
1980D
+28.0%
3,7482,0576,037
1976D
+51.0%
4,2281,3725,600
1972R
−34.0%
1,6653,3855,058
1968D
+22.7%
2,2709725,716
1964D
+26.1%
3,2941,9305,236
1960D
+36.6%
2,5021,0633,936
1956D
+41.3%
2,9351,2044,191
1952D
+50.4%
3,1501,0374,192
1948D
+62.3%
2,1222333,033
1944D
+72.6%
1,1751861,362
1940D
+80.2%
1,3701461,526
1936D
+92.4%
1,411551,468
1932D
+89.6%
1,549811,639
1928D
+53.1%
1,0823311,415
1924D
+34.1%
540209970
1920D
+43.5%
9313601,314
1916D
+44.5%
9603691,329
1912D
+48.5%
31452540
1908D
+32.2%
518263792
1904D
+42.5%
20482287
1900D
+31.7%
328168505
1896D
+14.8%
396290716
1892D
+14.7%
407298741
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
8.5%
African American
39.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
43.7%
Methodist
8.5%
Other Christian
6.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.9%
Mainline Protestant
2.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.0%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 33.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Desha County sits in the Arkansas Delta lowlands, where a substantial Black population and a declining rural white working class have historically produced competitive results — though the 2024 presidential margin settled at R+4.8, reflecting a decade-long rightward drift in small Delta counties.

The Democratic margin in Desha County has rarely exceeded ninety-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-four points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by five points.

Desha County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 44% non-Hispanic-white share, a 28% poverty rate, and a median household income of $37,662 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chicot County and St. Francis County.