akashic
1876–2024
Stanislaus County, California
Stanislaus County·California

Stanislaus County votes the way the country votes.

A Central Valley county that has shifted steadily rightward over two decades

18762024·38 elections
Stanislaus County, California · USFWS · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+11
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
553,990
2024 ACS
Most similar
Fresno County
CA · similarity 0.85
250 precincts · 198,558 votes cast
Trump · R+11
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−10.9%
85,347106,986198,558
2020D
+0.8%
105,841104,145215,987
2016D
+1.8%
81,64778,494174,406
2012D
+2.7%
77,72473,459155,816
2008D
+1.7%
80,27977,497161,512
2004R
−18.3%
58,82985,407145,624
2000R
−8.4%
56,44867,188128,267
1996D
+1.1%
53,73852,403117,007
1992D
+4.0%
52,41547,275128,005
1988R
−7.2%
44,68551,64897,315
1984R
−19.4%
37,45955,66593,985
1980R
−9.4%
33,68341,59584,186
1976D
+7.5%
38,44832,93773,465
1972R
−5.9%
35,00539,52176,867
1968D
+2.7%
31,31629,57365,063
1964D
+32.4%
43,07821,97365,128
1960D
+0.1%
30,30230,21360,890
1956D
+2.4%
28,04026,69554,927
1952R
−11.4%
22,27128,09050,913
1948R
−0.6%
18,35018,56438,371
1944D
+4.1%
15,53714,29730,271
1940D
+5.3%
16,49414,80331,746
1936D
+27.7%
15,3418,61324,302
1932D
+22.4%
12,3367,61421,042
1928R
−35.5%
5,06310,75316,019
1924R
−47.3%
1,2747,56913,312
1920R
−34.9%
3,0557,03811,423
1916D
+9.3%
5,4904,40111,687
1912D
+39.6%
3,12707,900
1908R
−7.6%
1,3901,6633,580
1904R
−11.9%
1,1101,4372,743
1900D
+8.8%
1,2701,0582,415
1896D
+15.9%
1,3981,0072,461
1892D
+14.8%
1,3699922,550
1888D
+17.8%
1,3159032,314
1884D
+18.0%
1,4249792,479
1880D
+21.4%
1,1617521,913
1876D
+15.6%
1,0978011,898
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
German
1.1%
African American
2.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.1%
Other Christian
10.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.6%
Baptist
1.8%
Non-Christian
0.9%
Mainline Protestant
0.8%
Methodist
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Stanislaus anchors California's agricultural heartland, where a large Latino working-class population and a dominant farming economy have combined to produce Republican presidential margins that have widened each cycle since 2012.

The Democratic margin in Stanislaus County has rarely exceeded forty points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-seven points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by eleven points.

Stanislaus County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 43% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $81,468 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fresno County and Early County.