akashic
1876–2024
Dubuque County, Iowa
Dubuque County·Iowa

Dubuque County votes the way the country votes.

A Mississippi River county that has shifted markedly rightward since 2008

18762024·38 elections
Dubuque County, Iowa · FluffyGryphon at English Wikipedia · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+9
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
99,030
2024 ACS
Most similar
Mower County
MN · similarity 0.98
34 precincts · 52,770 votes cast
Trump · R+9
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−8.6%
23,70528,22452,770
2020R
−2.9%
25,65727,21453,926
2016R
−1.2%
22,85023,46050,221
2012D
+14.7%
28,76821,28050,894
2008D
+20.8%
28,61118,65147,953
2004D
+13.7%
26,56120,10047,043
2000D
+14.6%
22,34116,46240,323
1996D
+19.6%
20,83913,39138,051
1992D
+15.2%
20,53914,00742,968
1988D
+24.0%
23,79714,53038,547
1984D
+6.4%
21,87619,23941,491
1980D
+0.1%
18,68918,64941,539
1976D
+7.9%
20,54817,45939,049
1972D
+3.1%
18,41717,27236,521
1968D
+12.8%
18,66414,19734,863
1964D
+40.2%
23,69510,10433,823
1960D
+26.7%
22,00712,74034,766
1956R
−15.2%
13,17417,92331,247
1952R
−10.8%
14,54218,07532,845
1948D
+20.9%
15,52110,11125,913
1944D
+1.4%
12,86712,50225,458
1940R
−2.8%
13,80514,59028,441
1936D
+29.3%
16,2918,27527,378
1932D
+46.2%
19,2106,74726,999
1928D
+33.1%
19,4379,74429,262
1924R
−10.1%
5,7188,28025,267
1920R
−22.9%
7,63612,43621,000
1916D
+2.4%
6,0635,77212,223
1912D
+39.4%
6,2371,62011,724
1908D
+16.3%
6,6454,70811,855
1904R
−5.0%
4,9135,48511,353
1900D
+16.5%
6,6554,75211,564
1896D
+11.0%
6,5105,20311,898
1892D
+31.4%
6,8313,52610,513
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
2.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
43.8%
Mainline Protestant
5.6%
Other Christian
3.1%
Methodist
2.2%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Baptist
0.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 44.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Dubuque County, long anchored by its Catholic, union-influenced workforce in Iowa's oldest city, has moved steadily toward Republican margins over the past decade — a shift that mirrors broader realignment among working-class voters in the Midwest.

The Democratic margin in Dubuque County has rarely exceeded forty-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-three points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by nine points.

Dubuque County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 89% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $77,630 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mower County and Carlton County.